MLB DFS Picks and Analysis 6/16: The Grind Down

The MLB DFS picks, MLB DFS cheat sheet, and MLB DFS projections for DraftKings & FanDuel in the RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis of the upcoming MLB schedule for Wednesday, June 16. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on how you can build stacks in the RotoGrinders MLB optimizer – LineupHQ. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, projected ownership, rankings, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Stackability Rating System:

BLUE – One of the top stacks of the slate.
GREEN – A full stack is viable in GPPs.
YELLOW – Not the best stack, but hitters are in play.
ORANGE – Tread lightly, but potentially target a hitter or two.
RED – Fade this offense in all formats.


MLB DFS Analysis: Sandy Alcantara (RHP | -119)

16200 DK ( 32.40% of cap) / 8700 FD ( 24.86% of cap) / 41 Y ( 20.50% of cap)
Baseball Stats Overview for DFS
Projections Rating Statcast Metrics Stats
PlateIQ DK Proj. 17.20 Exit Velocity 87.60
PlateIQ FD Proj. 31.10 EV Percentile 79
PlateIQ Y Proj. 19.50 Barrel % 5.50%
DK Pts$ 1.06 Barrel Percentile 79
FD Pts$ 3.57 Statcast Hard% 35.90%
Y Pts$ 4.76 Hard% Percentile 63

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MLB DFS Split Stats (2019-2021)
Key Stats vs. L Rating Key Stats vs. R Stats
Games 53.00 Games 53.00
Expected L 3.00 Expected R 5.00
xFIP L 5.25 xFIP R 3.92
K/9 L 6.55 K/9 R 8.55
BB/9 L 3.88 BB/9 R 2.71
GB/FB L 1.11 GB/FB R 1.91
HR/9 L 1.31 HR/9 R 0.59
Hard% L 35.30% Hard% R 29.30%

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Sandy Alcantara used to be bad, but he’s a good-average pitcher since 2020 — 4.02 SIERA, 8.43 K/9, 2.76 BB/9, and a great 0.85 HR9 on an elite 4.5% barrel rate. He shouldn’t be played in showdown because we should have the elite ceiling to roster pitchers when we don’t have to.

Quick Breakdown: The run prevention is great and the matchup is sneaky-fantastic in a great ballpark, but the Ks aren’t high enough for us.

MLB DFS Analysis: Johan Oviedo (RHP | 101)

14700 DK ( 29.40% of cap) / 5700 FD ( 16.29% of cap) / 26 Y ( 13.00% of cap)
Baseball Stats Overview for DFS
PlateIQ Category Rating Statcast Metrics Stats
PlateIQ DK Proj. 13.00 Exit Velocity 89.00
PlateIQ FD Proj. 24.00 EV Percentile 46
PlateIQ Y Proj. 14.80 Barrel % 9.10%
DK Pts$ 0.88 Barrel Percentile 20
FD Pts$ 4.21 Statcast Hard% 42.10%
Y Pts$ 5.69 Hard% Percentile 16

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About the Author

  • Alex Sonty (AlexSonty)

  • Alex Sonty is a professional DFS and poker player, while contributing to RotoGrinders and FanGraphs, as well as serving as a part-time political science professor in Chicago, IL. He’s been playing fantasy sports since 1996 and entered the DFS realm in 2014, currently playing high-stakes MLB and NFL cash games and GPPs. He is a Chicago Tribune and SB Nation alum, while holding a J.D./M.A. and L.L.M. from DePaul University.


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