MLB DFS Picks and Analysis 6/18: The Grind Down

The MLB DFS picks, MLB DFS cheat sheet, and MLB DFS projections for DraftKings & FanDuel in the RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis of the upcoming MLB schedule for Friday, June 18. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on how you can build stacks in the RotoGrinders MLB optimizer – LineupHQ. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, projected ownership, rankings, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Stackability Rating System:

BLUE – One of the top stacks of the slate.
GREEN – A full stack is viable in GPPs.
YELLOW – Not the best stack, but hitters are in play.
ORANGE – Tread lightly, but potentially target a hitter or two.
RED – Fade this offense in all formats.


NYM vs. WAS


MLB DFS Analysis: Joey Lucchesi (LHP | -103)

7000 DK ( 14.00% of cap) / 6400 FD ( 18.29% of cap) / 31 Y ( 15.50% of cap)
Baseball Stats Overview for DFS
Projections Rating Statcast Metrics Stats
PlateIQ DK Proj. 12.70 Exit Velocity 88.40
PlateIQ FD Proj. 24.00 EV Percentile 63
PlateIQ Y Proj. 14.30 Barrel % 7.00%
DK Pts$ 1.81 Barrel Percentile 53
FD Pts$ 3.75 Statcast Hard% 36.40%
Y Pts$ 4.61 Hard% Percentile 58

See More Stats Made Simple for NYM vs. WAS : Try PlateIQ Premium!
MLB DFS Split Stats (2019-2021)
Key Stats vs. L Rating Key Stats vs. R Stats
Games 39.00 Games 39.00
Expected L 2.00 Expected R 6.00
xFIP L 3.63 xFIP R 4.52
K/9 L 9.00 K/9 R 8.81
BB/9 L 3.13 BB/9 R 2.94
GB/FB L 2.69 GB/FB R 0.99
HR/9 L 0.78 HR/9 R 1.32
Hard% L 25.00% Hard% R 37.30%

See More Stats Made Simple for NYM vs. WAS : Try PlateIQ Premium!

We’ve got a beefer of a 15-gamer on the schedule for Friday, and this looks like the second slate in a row without any can’t-miss stuff on the pitching side. Joey Lucchesi does own a solid 26.5% K-rate on the year, but he’s taking a big park hit going from Citi Field into Nationals Park, and he still doesn’t have a long leash. He actually hasn’t been bad at all (3.64 SIERA), but the fact that he’ll likely max out around 75 pitches really caps his upside. The matchup isn’t great to begin with, which makes Lucchesi an easy fade.

Quick Breakdown: Avoid Lucchesi.

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About the Author

  • Taylor Smith (tcsmith031)

  • Taylor Smith is a native Texan (required by all fellow Texans to report this at all times) and Southern California-based sports writer. He has been playing daily fantasy sports regularly since 2012, going back to the days of DraftStreet (RIP). He specializes in MLB and NBA while dabbling in a few other sports like a true degen when the other two are out of season. He has written about DFS in the past at Bang The Book, and you can find some of his previous work on SB Nation and FanRag Sports.

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