MLB DFS Picks and Analysis 8/13: The Grind Down

The MLB DFS picks, MLB DFS cheat sheet, and MLB DFS projections for DraftKings & FanDuel in the RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis of the upcoming MLB schedule for Thursday, August 13 . This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on how you can build stacks in the RotoGrinders MLB optimizer – LineupHQ. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, projected ownership, rankings, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Stackability Rating System:

BLUE – One of the top stacks of the slate.
GREEN – A full stack is viable in GPPs.
YELLOW – Not the best stack, but hitters are in play.
ORANGE – Tread lightly, but potentially target a hitter or two.
RED – Fade this offense in all formats.


Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets


MLB DFS Analysis: Austin Voth (RHP | 105)

#N/A DK ( #N/A of cap) / #N/A FD ( #N/A #N/A #N/A of cap)
Baseball Stats Overview for DFS
PlateIQ Category Rating Statcast Metrics Percentile
PlateIQ: Overall #N/A #N/A K 30
PlateIQ: Strikeout #N/A #N/A BB 89
PlateIQ: Contact #N/A #N/A xWOBA 82
PlateIQ: Production #N/A #N/A xISO 48
PlateIQ: Discipline #N/A #N/A Hard Hit 41
PlateIQ: Context #N/A #N/A xERA 83
PlateIQ Rating is a matchup score. 50 is average. See what’s baked in with PlateIQ Premium.
MLB DFS Stats and Pitch Arsenal
PlateIQ Category Rating Pitch Type Percent
Games 10.00 4-Seamer 57
SIERA 4.23 Sinker 0
K% 24.20% Cutter 0
BB% 6.60% Slider 8
GB/FB 0.81 Changeup 2
HR/9 1.17 Curve 34
Hard% 32.90% Splitter 0
See More Stats Made Simple for WAS vs. NYM : Try PlateIQ Premium

Happy Thursday! We’ve got just 6 games on the schedule for today, with the main slates on DraftKings and FanDuel both starting at 4:05 ET. The Mets and Nationals will play the earliest game of the day at Citi Field. Austin Voth has an 18.9% strikeout rate through his first couple of starts, and he’s thrown 70 and 73 pitches in those outings. Voth has shown a hint of strikeout upside in the past, but in reality he’s likely just slightly above-average in that regard.

Neither starting pitcher is in a good spot in this game. The Mets’ projected lineup has a 20.8% strikeout rate against right-handed pitching dating back to 2019 with an ISO over .200. New York (4.69) also has a higher implied run total than Washington (4.31). I prefer David Peterson to Voth if you have to play a pitcher in this game, but both of these guys would be pretty unappealing on a bigger slate.

Quick Breakdown: Voth’s showdown salary looks a bit rich.

MLB DFS Analysis: David Peterson (LHP | -121)

#N/A

#N/A DK ( #N/A of cap) / #N/A FD ( #N/A #N/A #N/A of cap)
Baseball Stats Overview for DFS
PlateIQ Category Rating Statcast Metrics Percentile
PlateIQ: Overall #N/A #N/A K 37
PlateIQ: Strikeout #N/A #N/A BB 49
PlateIQ: Contact #N/A #N/A xWOBA 56
PlateIQ: Production #N/A #N/A xISO 45
PlateIQ: Discipline #N/A #N/A Hard Hit 64
PlateIQ: Context #N/A #N/A xERA 57
PlateIQ Rating is a matchup score. 50 is average. See what’s baked in with PlateIQ Premium.
MLB DFS Stats and Pitch Arsenal
PlateIQ Category Rating Pitch Type Percent
Games 3.00 4-Seamer 26
SIERA 4.39 Sinker 29
K% 20.60% Cutter 0
BB% 8.80% Slider 24
GB/FB 1.53 Changeup 19
HR/9 1.08 Curve 3
Hard% 41.70% Splitter 0
See More Stats Made Simple for WAS vs. NYM : Try PlateIQ Premium

David Peterson is one of the Mets’ better prospects, and he’s gotten off to a decent start in his first stint in the majors. The lefty has a 20.6% K-rate next to a 4.47 wOBA and a ground ball rate north of 47%. Peterson was a pretty extreme ground ball guy in the minors with decent strikeout stuff, as well. It may help Peterson to have the platoon advantage against Juan Soto, but he’s also likely facing 7 righties today in the Nats’ lineup. Washington has been an even worse matchup for strikeouts (16.5%) than New York, but the lineup doesn’t have quite as much power 1-through-9. I also just think Peterson is more talented than Voth, which has me thinking it’s worth it to just take the discount you can get on the Mets’ lefty instead.

Again, it’s far from an ideal matchup, but I think Peterson is a little bit better than Voth here.

Quick Breakdown: Peterson is my preferred pitcher in this game, but that’s not meant to be a ringing endorsement.

MLB DFS Cheat Sheet: Washington Nationals Batting

Player DK Salary FD Salary Y Salary wOBA ISO Hard% Barrels/PA
Trea Turner NA NA NA 0.352 0.2 21.30% 2.50%
Adam Eaton NA NA NA 0.335 0.146 33.30% 3.10%
Starlin Castro NA NA NA 0.308 0.164 20.00% 2.90%
Juan Soto NA NA NA 0.397 0.271 41.70% 0.00%
Howie Kendrick NA NA NA 0.394 0.216 39.30% 8.70%
Asdrubal Cabrera NA NA NA 0.341 0.197 31.60% 5.90%
Carter Kieboom NA NA NA 0.255 0.1 15.40% 0.00%
Kurt Suzuki NA NA NA 0.329 0.207 23.10% 0.00%
Victor Robles NA NA NA 0.316 0.16 22.60% 0.00%
Break down every WAS vs. NYM hitter in seconds: Try PlateIQ Premium

We don’t have a huge sample of Peterson’s work in the majors, but so far he has yielded a .336 wOBA to right-handed bats. Young lefties tend to have wide platoon splits, so it wouldn’t be a huge surprise if he struggled to get righties out early in his career. I still think Juan Soto is a fantastic play from the left side, but the vast majority of the appeal comes from the RHBs. Trea Turner, Howie Kendrick, Starlin Castro, and Kurt Suzuki have all fared well against lefties in the past. Victor Robles (if he’s in the lineup), Josh Harrison, and Michael A. Taylor are come cheap right-handed bats to consider, as well.

Optimal Plays – Howie Kendrick, Juan Soto, Trea Turner

Secondary Plays – Kurt Suzuki, Josh Harrison, Victor Robles, Starlin Castro

Stackability – GREEN / YELLOW


MLB DFS Cheat Sheet: New York Mets Batting

Player DK Salary FD Salary Y Salary wOBA ISO Hard% Barrels/PA
Brandon Nimmo NA NA NA 0.346 0.177 30.20% 8.80%
J.D. Davis NA NA NA 0.377 0.215 33.30% 8.60%
Jeff McNeil NA NA NA 0.381 0.201 21.70% 5.10%
Michael Conforto NA NA NA 0.361 0.231 25.50% 13.60%
Pete Alonso NA NA NA NA NA 27.10% 7.90%
Dominic Smith NA NA NA 0.363 0.248 24.10% 18.20%
Andrés Gimenez NA NA NA 0.32 0.122 21.90% 0.00%
Wilson Ramos NA NA NA 0.32 0.126 30.20% 5.70%
Luis Guillorme NA NA NA 0.296 0.113 33.30% 0.00%
Break down every WAS vs. NYM hitter in seconds: Try PlateIQ Premium

The splits for Austin Voth aren’t as pronounced as Peterson’s, but he’s still more vulnerable against opposite-handed hitters. The Mets can throw a bunch of lefties his way, and they’re pretty easy to stack up. Brandon Nimmo, Jeff McNeil, Dominic Smith, and Michael Conforto jump out right away, while Andres Gimenez has been quietly playing quite well of late. Luis Guillorme and Billy Hamilton are cheap lefty bats if they crack the lineup, too. You can play Pete Alonso against anyone given the power upside. I prefer a Mets stack to a Nationals stack, but it’s close.

Optimal Plays – Michael Conforto, Jeff McNeil, Pete Alonso, Brandon Nimmo

Secondary Plays – Andres Gimenez, Dominic Smith, Luis Guillorme, Billy Hamilton

Stackability – GREEN

Statcast Data referenced above per baseballsavant.com

About the Author

  • Taylor Smith (tcsmith031)

  • Taylor Smith is a native Texan (required by all fellow Texans to report this at all times) and Southern California-based sports writer. He has been playing daily fantasy sports regularly since 2012, going back to the days of DraftStreet (RIP). He specializes in MLB and NBA while dabbling in a few other sports like a true degen when the other two are out of season. He has written about DFS in the past at Bang The Book, and you can find some of his previous work on SB Nation and FanRag Sports.

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