MLB Grind Down: Friday, August 16th - MIA @ COL

Miami at Colorado – 8:40 PM ET

Alcantara is a low strikeout pitcher with a below-average ground ball rate. He’s pitching in Coors Field in a game that features a total of 12.0 runs. That’s really all that needs to be said.

Quick Breakdown: Avoid Alcantara in all formats.

Gray is one of my favorite pitching options of the slate. In 24 starts this season, he has a 4.42 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 24% and a walk rate of 9%. He induces a lot of ground balls and he’s had a number of solid starts at home this season. The real reason to like him tonight is a matchup against the Marlins, whose projected lineup has an average xwOBA of .274 with an average k-rate of 28% against right-handed pitching. Even better, they only have one lefty in their projected lineup and Gray has been dominant against righties this season.

Quick Breakdown: Gray is an elite SP2 in all formats.

Batter Grind Down

If you want to play the cheap Marlins in Coors Field, I’m not going to talk you out of it. I mean, we just saw them score a ton of runs against Walker Buehler in Miami. This is the best hitter’s park in baseball, so I certainly understand. Personally, I’m hitching my wagon to Jon Gray in hopes that he can take advantage of this right-handed heavy matchup. On the season, he has held righties to a .315 xwOBA with a 53% ground ball rate and a 24% strikeout rate. I do have interest in Isan Diaz as a cheap one-off, but that’s about it for me.

Elite PlaysIsan Diaz

Secondary Plays – None


If you are trying to decide between the Red Sox and Rockies tonight, there really isn’t a wrong answer. Perhaps instead of a full stack of one team you can do two mini-stacks and try to capitalize on the upside of both offenses. Sandy Alcantara is a low-strikeout pitcher that has allowed a .337 xwOBA to lefties and a .165+ xwOBA to batters from both sides of the plate. Charlie Blackmon (.363 xwOBA) and Daniel Murphy (.280 xwOBA) are my favorite targets here, but Trevor Story (.342 xwOBA), Nolan Arenado (.322 xwOBA), Raimel Tapia, and Ryan McMahon are strong options as well.

Elite PlaysCharlie Blackmon, Daniel Murphy, Trevor Story (GPP), Nolan Arenado (GPP)

Secondary PlaysTrevor Story (Cash), Nolan Arenado (Cash), Raimel Tapia (GPP), Ryan McMahon (GPP), Tony Wolters (DK)


About the Author

  • Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

  • Derek Farnsworth, aka Notorious, is one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS, thanks in large part to the great advice he gives on a daily basis in’s Grind Down for NBA and MLB as well as the First Look column that gives a preview of the day’s games from a DFS perspective. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Masters Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in multiple sports. Farnsworth provides expert analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis during the NBA season and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards.

    Interview after $100,000 Win


  • X Unread Thread
  • X Thread with New Replies*
  • *Jumps to your first unread reply

New to DFS?

Be sure to click through our links and use our exclusive promo codes to receive the industry's best sign-up bonuses, including free access to our premium content. is the home of the daily fantasy sports community. Our content, rankings, member blogs, promotions and forum discussion all cater to the players that like to create a new fantasy team every day of the week. Our goal is to help all of our members make more money playing daily fantasy sports!

Bet with your head, not over it!
Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-Gambler