MLB Grind Down: Friday, August 23rd - BOS @ SDP

Boston at San Diego – 10:10 PM ET

Rodriguez has not been in great form recently, but he has a lot working for him tonight. He sees a positive park shift playing in San Diego, he gets to face the opposing pitcher in the lineup rather than a designated hitter, and he gets to face the strikeout-happy Padres. Rodriguez has a 23% k-rate against right-handed hitters and has held them to a .309 xwOBA this season. Meanwhile, the Padres have a projected lineup of .268 with an average k-rate of 21% against southpaws.

Quick Breakdown: Rodriguez isn’t my favorite pitcher tonight given all of the options, but he’s certainly viable in tournaments.

Paddack is one of the most talented pitchers to take the mound tonight, but he never throws more than 95-97 pitches and he draws one of the worst matchups of the slate. Even without the use of the designated hitter, the Red Sox projected lineup has an average xwOBA of .362 with an average ISO of .217 against right-handed pitching. Paddack is in the exact same boat as James Paxton tonight. He’s an elite pitcher at a discounted price point, but the matchup is a little too much to overcome in a slate this size.

Quick Breakdown: Avoid Paddack in all formats.

Batter Grind Down

Whenever we have an elite offense that is facing an elite pitcher in a full slate, I avoid both sides of the equation. I don’t want to play Chris Paddack against the Red Sox, but I don’t want to play Boston against Paddack. The batters in this lineup are priced up across the industry and they obviously see a negative park shift playing in San Diego. In addition to a high strikeout rate, Paddack has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .300 xwOBA this season.

Elite Plays – None

Secondary PlaysMookie Betts (GPP), Rafael Devers (GPP)


I have more interest in Eduardo Rodriguez than I do in the Padres’ offense. The only reason to play batters from San Diego is that they have power. Unfortunately, Rodriguez’s biggest strength is limiting power. He has held right-handed hitters to a .309 xwOBA and a 29% hard contact rate this season. Manny Machado (.387 xwOBA) and Hunter Renfroe (.393 xwOBA) are viable in large tournaments, but are far from core plays.

Elite Plays – None

Secondary PlaysManny Machado (GPP), Hunter Renfroe (GPP)


About the Author

  • Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

  • Derek Farnsworth, aka Notorious, is one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS, thanks in large part to the great advice he gives on a daily basis in’s Grind Down for NBA and MLB as well as the First Look column that gives a preview of the day’s games from a DFS perspective. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Masters Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in multiple sports. Farnsworth provides expert analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis during the NBA season and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards.

    Interview after $100,000 Win


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