MLB Grind Down: Friday, August 23rd - TEX @ CHW
Texas at Chicago White Sox – 8:10 PM ET
Lynn has enjoyed his best season as a professional, posting a 3.91 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 27% and a walk rate of 7% this season. It seems like every time he’s on the slate, I like him as a play, but never force him into my lineups. I expect that to be the case again tonight, as we have Jacob deGrom at home against the Braves and Jose Berrios at home against the Tigers. We can certainly make a case to play Lynn in tournaments, as the White Sox projected lineup has an average xwOBA of .302 with an average k-rate of 25% against right-handed pitching.
Quick Breakdown: Lynn is a strong play, but I do prefer deGrom and Berrios in a vacuum.
Cease is another young pitcher that has a ton of talent, but that hasn’t found his footing at the major league level. In eight starts this season, he owns a 5.11 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 21% and a walk rate of 11%. The Rangers have plenty of strikeouts in their lineup, but I want to see Cease string together a few good starts before targeting him in DFS. As I’ve mentioned a few times already, this mid-range for pitchers is loaded with options.
Quick Breakdown: Avoid Cease in all formats.
Batter Grind Down
The Rangers are facing a rookie pitcher in a fairly hitter-friendly ballpark. Dylan Cease has talent, but he has struggled a bit in his first eight major league starts. He has allowed a .325+ xwOBA and a .200+ ISO to both left and right-handed hitters. Shin-Soo Choo (.385 xwOBA), Danny Santana (.350 xwOBA), Rougned Odor (.201 ISO), and recent call-up Nick Solak (.490 xwOBA) are all viable in tournaments tonight. Second base is one of the weakest positions of the slate, which makes Odor and Solak intriguing options.
Stackability – YELLOW
The White Sox have Yoan Moncada back in their lineup, but they still have one of the worst offenses in baseball. To make matters worse, they draw a difficult matchup against Lance Lynn. In addition to a high strikeout rate (27%), he has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .295 xwOBA and under a .155 ISO. In a slate this size, we don’t need to take the risk on any White Sox hitters.
Elite Plays – None
Secondary Plays – None
Stackability – ORANGE