MLB Grind Down: Friday, July 12th - CHW @ OAK
Chicago White Sox at Oakland – 10:07 PM ET
Nova has been an easy fade this season. We could target him every now and then when he was on Pittsburgh, but his move to the American League hasn’t been kind on him. He currently owns a 5.01 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 15%. He should be avoided against the A’s, whose projected lineup has an average ISO of .202 against right-handed pitching.
Quick Breakdown: Avoid Nova in all formats.
Fiers is a streaky pitcher that has yet to find any true form in 2019. In his 19 starts, he has a 5.25 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 16%. He’s a fly-ball pitcher, so he benefits from pitching in Oakland, but that doesn’t really help his strikeout upside. The positive here is that he’s facing a White Sox lineup that has eight batters with at least a 21% strikeout rate against right-handed pitching.
Quick Breakdown: Fiers has some appeal in tournaments and the late slate, but he feels a bit overpriced.
Batter Grind Down
Throughout his career, Mike Fiers has had serious reverse splits. In 2019, he has held lefties to a .298 xwOBA, while allowing a .349 xwOBA, a .177 ISO, and a 40% hard contact rate to righties. They feel a bit overpriced given the slate and ballpark, but Jose Abreu (.252 ISO) and James McCann (.338 xwOBA) are both viable in large-field GPPs.
Elite Plays – None
Stackability – ORANGE
The A’s are one of the sneakiest stacks available tonight. Ivan Nova is a low-strikeout pitcher who has struggled with batters from both sides of the plate. He has allowed a .335+ xwOBA, a .195+ ISO, and a 1.60+ HR/9 to both lefties and righties. The A’s are a fly-ball hitting offense with double-digit run type of upside tonight. Matt Chapman (.381 xwOBA), Matt Olson (.399 xwOBA), and Mark Canha (.359 xwOBA) have the best numbers against right-handed pitching, but Khris Davis is still too cheap on DraftKings ($3,700).
Stackability – GREEN