MLB Grind Down: Friday, July 12th - TOR @ NYY

Toronto at NY Yankees – 7:05 PM ET

Note: The Grind Down video update will return on Monday, July 15th.

We kick off tonight’s 13-game main slate with the Blue Jays and Yankees. Sanchez has really struggled this season, and a matchup against New York is unlikely to help. In 19 starts, he owns a 5.57 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 18% and a walk rate of 13%. He generates a lot of ground balls, but that’s not always a good thing when you aren’t getting strikeouts.

Quick Breakdown: Sanchez is an easy fade in all formats.

German doesn’t get enough credit for the season he’s having. In his 13 starts this season, he owns a 3.86 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 26% and walk rate of 6%. The Blue Jays have plenty of young talent, but they strike out at a high rate against right-handed pitching. This game features a high total, but the Blue Jays don’t have that high of a team total. The issue for me isn’t the matchup- it’s German’s price. I don’t view him as an SP1 in this slate, and he’s overpriced on multi-pitcher sites.

Quick Breakdown: This is a good spot for German, but at this price point he’s only viable in tournaments.

Batter Grind Down

The Blue Jays are playing in a hitter-friendly ballpark in a game with a high total, but they draw a difficult matchup against Domingo German. In addition to having a 26% strikeout rate, he has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .315 xwOBA this season. There is always the debate on what the Home Run Derby does to a player’s swing, but it’s hard not to like Vladimir Guerrero (.339 xwOBA). He is still underpriced across the industry.

Elite PlaysVladimir Guerrero (GPP)

Secondary PlaysVladimir Guerrero (Cash), Cavan Biggio (GPP)


The Yankees stacks should be out in full force tonight. Aaron Sanchez has a low strikeout rate, a high walk rate, and a high hard contact rate. On the season, he has allowed a .340+ xwOBA and a .150+ ISO to both left and right-handed hitters. The Yankees are big favorites and this game features a massive total. The best part is that the Yankees feel a little too cheap across the industry. The Yankees have six batters with at least a .350+ xwOBA against right-handed pitching — DJ LeMahieu, Aaron Judge, Gary Sanchez, Edwin Encarnacion, and Gleyber Torres.

Elite PlaysDJ LeMahieu, Aaron Judge, Gary Sanchez (DK), Aaron Hicks (GPP), Didi Gregorius (GPP), Edwin Encarnacion (GPP)

Secondary PlaysGary Sanchez (FD), Aaron Hicks (Cash), Didi Gregorius (Cash), Edwin Encarnacion (Cash), Gleyber Torres (GPP)


About the Author

  • Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

  • Derek Farnsworth, aka Notorious, is one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS, thanks in large part to the great advice he gives on a daily basis in’s Grind Down for NBA and MLB as well as the First Look column that gives a preview of the day’s games from a DFS perspective. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Masters Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in multiple sports. Farnsworth provides expert analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis during the NBA season and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards.


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