MLB Grind Down: Saturday, August 24th - SFG @ OAK
San Francisco at Oakland – 9:07 PM ET
Madison Bumgarner has a 24.5% strikeout rate this season next to a 3.72 ERA and a 4.06 SIERA. He’s also the second-most expensive pitcher on DraftKings behind Clevinger ($10,400) for a tough matchup against the righty-heavy A’s in Oakland. The ballpark is a nice place to pitch, but MadBum has a wide platoon split and he’ll likely see 8 righties in the lineup tonight. It’s pretty easy to find the extra money for Clevinger or pay down for a guy like Gibson instead, so Bumgarner looks like a pretty simple fade in this spot.
Quick Breakdown: Bumgarner is an easy fade at this price point.
Chris Bassitt owns a 22.2% K-rate with an 8.5% walk rate. His 4.68 SIERA is over a full run worse than his 3.61 ERA, though he does get a nice matchup tonight at home against the punchless Giants. San Francisco adds a DH to the lineup, but considering it’s the Giants I’d imagine that extra hitter will be pretty underwhelming. Bassitt could easily put together a nice outing tonight, but $9,600 is an awful lot to pay for him. You can look at him as an unowned option in tournaments, but his skill set doesn’t really warrant that hefty price tag.
Quick Breakdown: Bassitt is overpriced.
Batter Grind Down
The Giants have a 3.92 implied run total tonight, so adding that DH apparently won’t help them too much. Bassitt has better strikeout numbers against lefties, but his ground ball rate is significantly better against righties. I’d lean toward the LHBs if targeting Giants here, which means Brandon Belt, Alex Dickerson, Scooter Gennett, Stephen Vogt and Mike Yastrzemski. Most of these bats are cheap, so if you’re looking for a gross, inexpensive stack, perhaps I can interest you in some San Francisco hitters.
Elite Plays – Brandon Belt
Stackability – ORANGE
MadBum has pitched well this season, but it’s hard not to like the way the A’s can stack up against him. OAK’s projected lineup has a hefty .236 ISO against southpaws, and the only regular priced above $4,100 on DK is Matt Olson in a lefty-lefty matchup. Matt Chapman, Stephen Piscotty, Khris Davis, Chad Pinder, Mark Canha and Marcus Semien are all very affordable, and they’ll all have the platoon advantage here. The A’s are projected to score 4.58 runs, and grabbing a few of these bats can help you facilitate other things. I like them as a full stack, a mini stack or a source of one-offs. I’m not expecting the A’s to demolish Bumgarner, but there’s tons of value in this lineup.
Stackability – YELLOW / GREEN