MLB Grind Down: Saturday, August 24th - TBR @ BAL
Tampa Bay at Baltimore – 7:05 PM ET
Jose Alvarado is slated to open for the Rays before Austin Pruitt pitches in long relief. Pruitt was the minimum on DraftKings the last time we saw him, but his price has been jacked up to $7,200. He has a middling 18.6% K-rate this year with a 4.05 SIERA and a 4.73 ERA. The projected Orioles lineup has a strikeout rate under 21% on the year against right-handed pitching, and Pruitt doesn’t miss many bats to begin with. All things considered, Rays pitchers are an easy fade tonight.
Quick Breakdown: Fade Alvarado, Pruitt and the rest of the Rays’ pitchers.
All-Star John Means has a 19% strikeout rate of his own with a nice 6.9% walk rate. His 3.75 ERA is belied by a 5.03 SIERA, so he’s been a little lucky so far this season. The Rays have more strikeouts in the lineup (23.5%) against lefties than they do against righties, but it’s been a couple of months since Means has put together a solid fantasy outing. Tampa Bay has a very high 5.33 implied run total, but $6,100 on DraftKings is at least a little alluring for Means as an SP2 on a slate that looks a bit thin on the pitching side. He’s another guy that looks unnecessary on a single-pitcher site like FanDuel.
Quick Breakdown: The upside is limited, but Means as a multi-entry GPP pivot away from Trevor Williams is passable.
Batter Grind Down
The Rays have a high implied run total once again, and they get the noteworthy park bump going from the Trop into Camden Yards. Means has done a solid job against lefties, but he’s allowed a .317 wOBA with 13 dingers on the year to right-handed hitters. Jesus Aguilar is free again tonight, while Mike Zunino, Matt Duffy, Michael Brosseau and Willy Adames are all extremely cheap, too. Travis d’Arnaud, Tommy Pham and Avisail Garcia have all shown above-average power against lefties in the past. Austin Meadows will see less ownership in a lefty-lefty matchup, but he’s still a perfectly strong option, as we saw last night. Tampa Bay looks like one of the better stacks of the night, but they’ll be popular.
Stackability – GREEN
The O’s have an implied run total of 4.67 against Alvarado, Pruitt and the Rays. I respect the Tampa staff enough to where I don’t have a ton of interest in the Orioles aside from one-offs or mini-stacks. D.J. Stewart is a nice value around the industry, while Chance Sisco has a bit of pop from behind the plate. Guys like Jonathan Villar, Renato Nunez and Trey Mancini aren’t bad plays, but they’re not all that cheap, either.
Elite Plays – None
Stackability – YELLOW / ORANGE