MLB Grind Down: Saturday, June 15th
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis into the upcoming MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.
The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.
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BLUE – One of the top stacks of the slate.
GREEN – A full stack is viable in GPPs.
YELLOW – Not the best stack, but hitters are in play.
ORANGE – Tread lightly, but potentially target a hitter or two.
RED – Fade this offense in all formats.
LA Angels at Tampa Bay – 1:10 PM ET
Jose Suarez has put together back-to-back passable starts to begin his big league career, and he’ll get another crack at it today against the Rays. The southpaw has a strikeout rate of 23.8% at the big league level so far, and it doesn’t look flukey considering he’s put up some gaudy K-rates in the minors during his career. Walks are a problem, though, as he’s posted a walk rate over 10% at the Triple-A level since the start of last season. Suarez doesn’t have the longest leash, but he’s somewhat cheap for the showdown slate and the Rays’ lineup generally profiles worse against left-handed pitchers. It’s not the greatest spot, but Suarez does have a bit of upside for the showdown slate.
Quick Breakdown: Suarez wouldn’t be on my radar on a normal slate, but he’s at least passable on the 1-game slate.
Charlie Morton has picked up right where he left off. The veteran boasts a sparkling 30.2% strikeout rate this season while generating plenty of ground balls (51.6%) and doing a good job of limiting hard contact. Pitching at home is nice, but the Angels have the lowest strikeout rate in the league (17.1%) this season against right-handed pitching. Morton also doesn’t pitch as deep into games as most other aces. There’s definitely an argument for fading what may be the highest-owned player on a 1-game slate, but I’d be inclined to just play him given the raw point expectation.
Quick Breakdown: It’s not an awesome spot, but Morton is squarely in play on the 1-gamer.
Batter Grind Down
Morton has been generally dominant, but he has struggled a bit more from a batted ball perspective with left-handed hitters. The Angels can throw as many as 6 lefties his way, so Shohei Ohtani, Justin Bour, Kole Calhoun and Tommy La Stella look like the best non-Trout options here. Brian Goodwin and Luis Rengifo are decent value LHBs. Playing Mike Trout is usually a good idea, even if you’re playing him with Morton here. Kevan Smith and Wilfredo Tovar are a couple of dirt-cheap punt options.
Stackability – ORANGE
The sample size of info on Jose Suarez at the big league level is small, but taking the TB right-handed hitters is probably the way to go. Avisail Garcia, Yandy Diaz and Tommy Pham have excellent histories against southpaws, so if you can afford them I wouldn’t hesitate to roster any of them. Willy Adames and Travis d’Arnaud are a couple of cheap RHBs worth a look, too. Kevin Kiermaier might go overlooked given his price tag and the lefty-lefty matchup, but I like him quite a bit if he’s going to see lower ownership than some of these other guys. Austin Meadows is a perfectly fine option, as well.
Stackability – YELLOW