MLB Grind Down: Saturday, May 25th
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis into the upcoming MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.
The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.
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BLUE – One of the top stacks of the slate.
GREEN – A full stack is viable in GPPs.
YELLOW – Not the best stack, but hitters are in play.
ORANGE – Tread lightly, but potentially target a hitter or two.
RED – Fade this offense in all formats.
Chicago White Sox at Minnesota – 2:10 PM ET
Manny Banuelos has the misfortune of coming off the IL just in time to face a Twins offense that has been mashing on a daily basis. The lefty has a passable strikeout rate north of 22%, but his walk rate is over 13%. The projected Minnesota lineup has struck out nearly 23% of the time against lefties on the season, but there’s quite a bit more downside than upside here for Banuelos in his return.
Quick Breakdown: Banuelos is an easy fade in all formats.
Kyle Gibson owns a 24.2% strikeout rate this year, which would be a career-high if he’s able to keep it going for a full season. Walks have been an issue for him in the past, but his BB rate is down to just 6.2% on the year. The hard contact rate over 39% is a tick high, but he gets a strong matchup against a strikeout-happy White Sox offense this afternoon. The projected White Sox lineup has a K-rate over 24% against righties on the season, along with a fairly low .157 ISO. Assuming Gibson can navigate Moncada, Abreu and Jimenez, he should be fine in this spot. His price tag around the industry is also still cheap enough.
Quick Breakdown: Gibson makes for a strong SP2 option today.
Batter Grind Down
Gibson has allowed a wOBA of .346 to left-handed hitters, but there isn’t much by way of scary left-handed power in the White Sox lineup. Yoan Moncada and Eloy Jimenez have each hit right-handers well so far this season, but I’d rather play them as one-offs than stack Chicago hitters in this spot. This isn’t an offense I want much to do with this afternoon.
Elite Plays – Yoan Moncada
Stackability – ORANGE
Manny Banuelos doesn’t have a lengthy track record at the big league level, but he’s been plenty hittable against hitters of either handedness. Righties have a .398 wOBA against him in his career, while lefties aren’t far behind with a mark of .382. He’s likely to face 8 right-handed hitters this afternoon, so the Twins are obviously stackable once again. There’s a decent chance Nelson Cruz gets back into the lineup here, which makes him an appealing option right away. Cruz (.391 ISO vs. LHP this season) and C.J. Cron (.417) have been crushing left-handed pitching so far this season. Miguel Sano, Jorge Polanco, Jonathan Schoop and Marwin Gonzalez will all have the platoon edge against Banuelos, as well. Willians Astudillo is fine as a part of your Twins stacks. Eddie Rosario could go overlooked in the lefty-lefty matchup, so he’s a potential way to differentiate your stack a bit.
Stackability – GREEN