MLB Grind Down: Thursday, September 12th - KCR @ CHW

Kansas City at Chicago White Sox – 2:10 PM ET

Lopez pitched well his last time out, but it was against the Marlins in Miami. Overall, he owns a 4.46 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 22% and a walk rate of 8%. I expect many to look his way on DraftKings given the fact that he’s only $5,000, but he’s listed as a large underdog and he’s pitching on the road. I doubt this is a hot take, but I prefer the White Sox offense over Lopez, especially if ownership is going to gravitate to the latter.

Quick Breakdown: Lopez is certainly viable at his price point on DraftKings, but this feels like a good spot to fade the cheap chalk.

Giolito has been one of the biggest surprises in baseball this season. In 28 starts, he owns a 3.64 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 32% and a walk rate of 8%. While he’s a fly-ball pitcher, he’s very good at limiting home runs. This leads to many easy fly-ball outs. He draws a mediocre matchup against the Royals, whose projected lineup has an average xwOBA of .320 with an average k-rate of 20% against right-handed pitching.

Quick Breakdown: Giolito is firmly in play for tournaments, but I do prefer Darvish as my SP1 at a cheaper price point.

Batter Grind Down

Very few hitters have had success against Lucas Giolito this season. He has an elite strikeout rate (32%) and has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .305 xwOBA and under a 1.20 HR/9. The Royals put up a bunch of runs last night, but have underwhelmed against right-handed pitching this season. The Royals aren’t priced at a big enough discount to warrant consideration in the early slate.

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – None


I really want to stack the White Sox here, but I couldn’t believe their salaries when I pulled them up. Each of the first five hitters in this lineup is at least $4,000 on DraftKings. For that reason, I prefer the stack on FanDuel. Jorge Lopez has struggled with batters from both sides of the plate, but has allowed a .384 xwOBA and a .249 ISO to lefties this season. Yoan Moncada is a strong one-off target, Eloy Jimenez has been on fire over the last two weeks, and the likes of Leury Garcia, Tim Anderson, and Jose Abreu are all viable in tournaments.

Elite PlaysYoan Moncada, Eloy Jimenez (GPP), Tim Anderson (FD GPP)

Secondary PlaysEloy Jimenez (Cash), Tim Anderson (DK GPP), Leury Garcia (GPP), Jose Abreu (GPP)


About the Author

  • Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

  • Derek Farnsworth, aka Notorious, is one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS, thanks in large part to the great advice he gives on a daily basis in’s Grind Down for NBA and MLB as well as the First Look column that gives a preview of the day’s games from a DFS perspective. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Masters Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in multiple sports. Farnsworth provides expert analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis during the NBA season and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards.


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