MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, August 13th - BAL @ NYY

Baltimore at NY Yankees – 7:05 PM ET

Means has made 18 starts this season, posting a 4.92 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 20%. While he’s good at limiting power, he’s not nearly as talented as his ERA (3.36) wants you to believe. Despite missing half of their lineup, the Yankees have been crushing at the plate recently. Over the last 14 days, they are first in home runs (37) and second in wRC+ (145). Means is a massive underdog pitching on the road in a game that features a total of 10.5 runs.

Quick Breakdown: In case you didn’t get the hints above, I will be avoiding Means in all formats.

We have lost two aces in the DraftKings player pool since this morning. Clayton Kershaw was pushed back a day and Gerrit Cole was taken off the slate. This makes German a much more appealing option. In 19 starts this season, he owns a 3.93 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 26% and a walk rate of 6%. He gives up a decent amount of hard contact and home runs, but that’s less of a concern in a matchup against the Orioles. Their projected lineup for tonight’s game has an average xwOBA of only .315 with an average k-rate of 23% against right-handed pitching.

Quick Breakdown: German is priced at a premium, but offers a high floor at low ownership. He’s on my radar for tournaments.

Batter Grind Down

The Orioles are an offense that I rarely target in big slates. They have to have a top five matchup in order to deserve consideration in DFS. While they are playing in a hitter-friendly ballpark, they have a difficult matchup against Domingo German. He owns a 26% strikeout rate and has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .305 xwOBA this season. If fading the Orioles in a 14-game slate burns me, so be it. That’s a risk I’m willing to live with.

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – None

StackabilityORANGE

I’m interested to see what the Yankees’ ownership will look like tonight. While they are usually popular, they have felt under-owned over the last couple of weeks. As noted above, they have been tearing the cover off the ball recently. The Orioles have the worst bullpen in baseball and it should be relatively tired after yesterday’s double-header. The key for New York is to jump on John Means early. He has been tough on batters from both sides of the plate, but he’s an extreme fly-ball pitcher and he’s facing the Yankees in New York. I will continue to go right back to the well and load up on the Yankees in tournaments. They are a top two stack for me in this slate.

Elite PlaysDJ LeMahieu, Aaron Judge, Gio Urshela, Gleyber Torres, Gary Sanchez (DK)

Secondary PlaysGary Sanchez (FD), Cameron Maybin (GPP)

StackabilityBLUE

About the Author

  • Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

  • Derek Farnsworth, aka Notorious, is one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS, thanks in large part to the great advice he gives on a daily basis in RotoGrinders.com’s Grind Down for NBA and MLB as well as the First Look column that gives a preview of the day’s games from a DFS perspective. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Masters Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in multiple sports. Farnsworth provides expert analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis during the NBA season and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards.

    Interview after $100,000 Win

Comments

  • X Unread Thread
  • X Thread with New Replies*
  • *Jumps to your first unread reply

New to DFS?

Be sure to click through our links and use our exclusive promo codes to receive the industry's best sign-up bonuses, including free access to our premium content.

RotoGrinders.com is the home of the daily fantasy sports community. Our content, rankings, member blogs, promotions and forum discussion all cater to the players that like to create a new fantasy team every day of the week. Our goal is to help all of our members make more money playing daily fantasy sports!

Bet with your head, not over it!
Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-Gambler