MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, August 13th - MIN @ MIL

Minnesota at Milwaukee – 8:10 PM ET

Perez isn’t a pitcher that I like to target for DFS or a pitcher that I like to target hitters against. In 20 starts this season, he owns a 4.79 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 20% and a walk rate of 9%. Those numbers aren’t all that appealing, yet he’s managed to hold both left and right-handed hitters under a .300 xwOBA this season. The Brewers strike out at a high rate against southpaws, but they have plenty of power and Perez is facing them on the road in a hitter-friendly ballpark.

Quick Breakdown: Avoid Perez in all formats.

Anderson has a tough matchup on paper. The Twins lead the majors in ISO and in home runs this season. However, they lose the DH in this series (which will be Nelson Cruz) and most of their lineup is left-handed. On the season, Anderson has held lefties to a .253 xwOBA with a 22% strikeout rate. He has massive reverse-splits, which is a significant boost in this matchup. It doesn’t feel great targeting Anderson in a difficult matchup in a 14-game slate, but I prefer him over Thomas Pannone. He’ll likely garner less than half of the ownership.

Quick Breakdown: When it comes to cheap SP2 options, I’ll rank them Fried, May, Anderson, and then Pannone.

Batter Grind Down

As noted above, Chase Anderson is a reverse splits pitcher. In 2018, he allowed a .367 xwOBA and a .239 ISO to righties. In 2019, he has allowed a .361 xwOBA and a .217 ISO to righties. Unfortunately, the Twins only have one right-handed hitter in their projected lineup. Miguel Sano (.332 xwOBA) is certainly a viable one-off target here. The Twins have plenty of left-handed power, but Anderson has held lefties to a .253 xwOBA last season.

Elite PlaysMiguel Sano (GPP)

Secondary PlaysMiguel Sano (Cash)


As mentioned above, I don’t like targeting hitters against Martin Perez. While he doesn’t have a high strikeout rate, he induces a lot of ground balls and he has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .300 xwOBA and under a 37% hard contact rate. For a game that features a total of 10.0 runs, I have surprisingly very little interest in the two offenses. Lorenzo Cain (.348 xwOBA), Yasmani Grandal (.380 xwOBA), and Ryan Braun (.350 xwOBA) all bat from the right side and all have good numbers against southpaws, but they are far from priority plays tonight.

Elite Plays – None

Secondary PlaysLorenzo Cain (GPP), Yasmani Grandal (GPP), Ryan Braun (GPP)


About the Author

  • Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

  • Derek Farnsworth, aka Notorious, is one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS, thanks in large part to the great advice he gives on a daily basis in’s Grind Down for NBA and MLB as well as the First Look column that gives a preview of the day’s games from a DFS perspective. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Masters Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in multiple sports. Farnsworth provides expert analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis during the NBA season and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards.


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