MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, August 13th - PIT @ LAA
Pittsburgh at LA Angels – 10:07 PM ET
Williams has more walks than strikeouts in his last two starts. While I liked his teammate against the Angels last night, I want no part of Williams here. He’s a large underdog on the road in an American League ballpark. Meanwhile, the projected lineup for the Angels has an average xwOBA of .341 and an average ISO of .215 against right-handed pitching.
Quick Breakdown: Avoid Williams in all formats.
Canning has enjoyed a nice rookie season for the Angels, posting a 4.25 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 25% and a walk rate of 8%. He’s a fly-ball pitcher that gives up a lot of hard contact, but that’s largely negated by this spacious ballpark. He’s cheap across the industry and has been tough on batters from both sides of the plate. The only issue is a matchup against the Pirates, whose projected lineup has an average xwOBA of .337 with an average k-rate of only 17% against right-handed pitching.
Quick Breakdown: Canning has limited upside in this matchup. He’s best suited as a play in the late slate.
Batter Grind Down
The Pirates got to Jose Suarez early last night, but have a tough matchup against Griffin Canning on Tuesday. He has an above-average strikeout rate and has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .305 xwOBA this season. The Pirates have one of the lowest k-rates in baseball and they have good numbers against right-handed pitching, but there are better spots to exploit in the main slate. Adam Frazier, Bryan Reynolds, Starling Marte, and Josh Bell are best suited as late slate plays.
Elite Plays – None
Stackability – ORANGE
The Angels will basically be un-owned in the main slate tonight, even though they have a good matchup and plenty of power against right-handed pitching. Trevor Williams has a low strikeout rate and has allowed a .385 xwOBA to lefties and a .227 ISO to righties this season. Mike Trout (.475 xwOBA), Shohei Ohtani (.397 xwOBA), and Justin Upton (.346 xwOBA) are all viable one-offs for tournaments.
Stackability – YELLOW