MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, August 13th - SEA @ DET
Seattle at Detroit – 7:10 PM ET
Kikuchi is coming off a strong start against the Padres, but that was a great matchup at home in a pitcher-friendly ballpark. We’ve seen flashes like this time and time again, but we get the bad side more often than not. In 24 starts overall, we have a 5.12 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 17%. He has allowed 31 home runs this season and has struggled with batters from both sides of the plate. I would rather take a chance with a Tigers stack than I would with Kikuchi tonight.
Quick Breakdown: Avoid Kikuchi in all formats.
I was ready to play Gerrit Cole as my SP1 tonight on DraftKings, but he is no longer included in the main slate. I will gladly pivot to Boyd, who has been one of the best pitchers in baseball this season. In 24 starts, he owns a 3.34 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 32% and a walk rate of 6%. After a string of difficult matchups, he finally draws a favorable one against the Mariners at home. Seattle’s projected lineup has an average xwOBA of .312 with an average k-rate of 24% against southpaws. I know the Tigers are bad, but this feels like a smash spot for both Boyd and their offense.
Quick Breakdown: Boyd is my favorite pitcher of the slate and an elite option in all formats.
Batter Grind Down
Seeing as how Matt Boyd is my favorite pitcher of the slate, I will naturally be avoiding the Mariners’ offense. In addition to an elite strikeout rate (32%), Boyd has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .295 xwOBA this season. He’ll give up the occasional home run, but it’s not like Seattle’s lineup is loaded with right-handed power. If I had to choose a batter from the Mariners, I would roll out Tom Murphy (.289 ISO), but I don’t see the need in a slate this size.
Elite Plays – None
Secondary Plays – Tom Murphy (DK GPP)
Stackability – ORANGE
The Tigers are basically free across the industry, they have an implied team total over five runs, and they are getting little to no ownership. Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a .230+ ISO to batters from both sides of the plate and has given up 31 home runs in only 24 starts this season. While everyone else will go the cheap route at SP2, I would rather take some cheap bats from the Tigers and spend up on pitching. You aren’t going to find many batters with good numbers against southpaws here, but Kikuchi is one of the best matchups of the slate.
Stackability – GREEN