MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, August 13th - TBR @ SDP

Tampa Bay at San Diego – 10:10 PM ET

I have no idea why, but a 16-game breakdown feels a lot bigger than a 15-game breakdown. We end tonight’s baseball with the Rays and Padres. McKay is one of the most talented young pitchers in baseball and he’s wasted no time getting acclimated to the majors. In six starts, he owns a 3.66 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 26% and a walk rate of 2%. His only weakness so far has been right-handed power and the Padres have quite a bit of that in their lineup. With that said, they also have an average k-rate of 24%, so there is certainly upside here.

Quick Breakdown: I prefer Flaherty over McKay tonight, but he’s still a strong tournament play if you are building multiple lineups.

Lauer has made 20 starts this season, posting a 4.77 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 19%. He’s been good this season, but he does lack upside. The good news is that he gets to pitch at home against an American League team that loses the use of the DH in this series. At a price of $6,700 on DraftKings, I have no issue with Lauer as an SP2 for cash games.

Quick Breakdown: Lauer is a viable SP2 on DraftKings, but I prefer him in the late slate over the main slate.

Batter Grind Down

This is not the game that we want to target for hitters. Eric Lauer doesn’t have a high strikeout rate, but he has held right-handed hitters to a .306 xwOBA and a .147 ISO. He has reverse splits, but the Rays don’t have any lefties with good numbers against left-handed pitching. This is an easy team to cross off our list of potential targets.

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – None


As noted above, Brendan McKay has struggled a bit with right-handed power, allowing a .263 ISO and a 2.42 HR/9 this season. His advanced numbers suggest that he’s been a little unlucky, but it’s not like we have a lot else to work with in this game. For the main slate, there is no need to take a risk on the Padres. For the late slate, Fernando Tatis (.447 xwOBA), Wil Myers (.354 xwOBA), Manny Machado (.407 xwOBA), and Hunter Renfroe (.407 xwOBA) are all strong tournament plays.

Elite Plays – None

Secondary PlaysFernando Tatis (GPP), Wil Myers (GPP), Manny Machado (GPP), Hunter Renfroe (GPP)


About the Author

  • Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

  • Derek Farnsworth, aka Notorious, is one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS, thanks in large part to the great advice he gives on a daily basis in’s Grind Down for NBA and MLB as well as the First Look column that gives a preview of the day’s games from a DFS perspective. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Masters Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in multiple sports. Farnsworth provides expert analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis during the NBA season and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards.


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