MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, June 11th
NY Mets at NY Yankees – 1:05 PM ET
It’s been a busy morning, so I apologize for getting this early game up a little late. The salaries in the tables below can be ignored, as they are salaries from the main slate. With this being the first game of the double-header, we will focus on its appeal from a showdown perspective. Wheeler is having a very nice season for the Mets, posting a 3.80 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 27% and a walk rate of 7%. His numbers continues to trend in the right direction and he’s been tough on both left and right-handed hitters. Obviously, a matchup against the Yankees in this ballpark is far from ideal, but the two-pitcher approach is firmly in play today.
Quick Breakdown: Wheeler would be an easy fade in a large slate, but I will be using both pitchers in my showdown lineup.
Tanaka hasn’t quite been as sharp this season, but he still owns a 4.24 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 21% and a walk rate of 6%. He gives up the occasional home run, but is an above-average pitcher in a game where the Yankees are large favorites. The Mets have some good hitters in their offense, but their lineup as a whole owns an average xwOBA of only .309 with a strikeout rate of 23% against right-handed pitching.
Quick Breakdown: Tanaka is the preferred pitcher in this game, but both will be featured in my showdown lineup.
Batter Grind Down
If you plan to use both pitchers like myself, there are only so many options to choose from when it comes to hitters. It all comes down to value and the two hitters that really stand out here are Jeff McNeil (.364 xwOBA) and Domonic Smith (.364 xwOBA). Masahiro Tanaka has historically struggled with right-handed power, but he has allowed a .323 xwOBA to lefties this season. As we know, the short porch in right field is a huge boost for left-handed hitters in this ballpark.
Elite Plays – Jeff McNeil, Domonic Smith
Stackability – ORANGE
The Yankees are favored in this game, but their matchup against Zack Wheeler is far from ideal. In addition to above-average ground ball and strikeout rates, Wheeler has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .310 xwOBA in each of the last two seasons. With that said, this is a hitter-friendly ballpark and Wheeler is used to facing the opposing pitcher in the lineup. Once again, if you are targeting the two pitchers, it really comes down to which bats you can afford. My favorite values from the Yankees are Didi Gregorius and Kendrys Morales. I’m not a fan of giving out lineups, but you can probably figure my showdown squad without putting much thought into it.
Stackability – ORANGE