MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, September 10th
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis into the upcoming MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.
The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.
Note: As always, if you want to try a new DFS site, be sure to click through a RotoGrinders link and use our DraftKings promo code, FanDuel promo code, and FantasyDraft promo code to receive the best perks in the industry.
BLUE – One of the top stacks of the slate.
GREEN – A full stack is viable in GPPs.
YELLOW – Not the best stack, but hitters are in play.
ORANGE – Tread lightly, but potentially target a hitter or two.
RED – Fade this offense in all formats.
NY Yankees at Detroit – 6:40 PM ET
Chad Green is listed as the Yankees’ opener tonight. DraftKings has Luis Cessa as the probable long reliever, but that hasn’t been confirmed. This is a tricky situation considering the Yankees get arguably the best matchup of all against the Tigers, who rank near the top of the league in strikeouts and near the bottom of the league in most offensive categories. Green isn’t the worst option considering he’s capable of pitching 2-3 innings, and 2-3 innings of work against this lineup might be enough to put up a reasonable score. Cessa is viable if you want to take a shot at predicting the Yanks’ long reliever, especially considering he hasn’t pitched since September 4.
Quick Breakdown: Green isn’t the worst try on the one-game showdown slate thanks to the matchup, but the upside is obviously limited.
Edwin Jackson has put up a positive score in all but one of his starts with the Tigers to this point, but the matchup with New York is obviously more daunting than most. You can always play pitchers on one-game slates as a way of getting exposure to the highest possible raw score, but I’m not sure Jackson really fits the bill. The projected Yankee lineup has a wOBA over .360 with an ISO nearing .240 against right-handed pitching on the year.
Quick Breakdown: This is obviously a pretty scary spot for Jackson.
Batter Grind Down
Edwin has allowed a .480 wOBA with 12 homers this season to right-handed hitters, which is pretty horrifying considering most of the Yankee lineup is comprised of right-handed power bats. The Yankees get a park downgrade today, but their implied run total is still among the highest on the entire day. Aaron Judge, Gary Sanchez, Gleyber Torres and Edwin Encarnacion are your top right-handed power threats, while Luke Voit and D.J. LeMahieu are viable secondary options at their respective positions. Jackson has allowed a .399 wOBA to lefties, too, so Didi Gregorius, Mike Ford and Brett Gardner are also squarely in play. As is usually the case with the Yankees, you can make a case for any bat that cracks the lineup here.
Stackability – GREEN
A bullpen game plus an awful Detroit lineup makes the Tigers look awfully unappealing. You’ve got to play some of them on the one-gamer, though. Victor Reyes has been the team’s best hitter for the past few weeks, while Christin Stewart, Ronny Rodriguez and Brandon Dixon have shown occasional power. Willi Castro, Jeimer Candelario Jake Rogers aren’t good, but they’re cheap enough to be viable punts that help you facilitate other things within your lineup.
Stackability – YELLOW / ORANGE