MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, September 10th - BOS @ TOR
Boston at Toronto – 7:07 PM ET
Nathan Eovaldi has looked decent in his last couple of outings, but he still hasn’t thrown more than 81 pitches in a game since April. The right-hander has a 23.1% strikeout rate with an 11.3% walk rate on the season, and his 4.80 SIERA is a bit better than his 5.77 ERA. The Jays are running out a high-strikeout lineup these days (27.9% vs. RHP), but there’s also a good bit of power here (.214 ISO) and Rogers Centre has been among the most homer-happy parks in the league. Eovaldi isn’t the worst play at this price point given the strikeout upside in the matchup, but his short leash is definitely a concern. On this slate he looks like little more than a passable midrange GPP option.
Quick Breakdown: Eovaldi is an okay midrange tournament dart, but that’s about it.
T.J. Zeuch pitched 4 innings after an opener in his debut, but he’s getting the straight start tonight. While that should be good for his pitch count upside, any pitcher facing the Red Sox is hardly appealing for fantasy. The right-hander didn’t show particularly impressive strikeout stuff at the minor league levels, and tonight he’ll face a Boston lineup with a 5.61 implied run total. Zeuch is extremely cheap around the industry, but on a full slate we aren’t really needing to scrape the bottom of the barrel for pitching options.
Quick Breakdown: Zeuch is an easy fade against the Red Sox.
Batter Grind Down
Zeuch showed excellent ground ball stuff in the minors, and we know stacking bats against a ground ball pitcher can go sideways in a hurry. It’s still the Red Sox hitting in a favorable park for power, though. J.D. Martinez should never be south of $5,000 on DraftKings, but he is tonight. Mookie Betts, Xander Bogaerts and Rafael Devers are more properly priced, but they’re always playable individually or as a part of a stack. Christian Vazquez and Mitch Moreland are fairly affordable with a little bit of power, while Andrew Benintendi also looks like a nice value option around the industry. As usual, there is plenty of merit and upside to stacking the Red Sox.
Stackability – GREEN
Eovaldi hasn’t been all that effective against anyone this season, but his splits suggest he’s more vulnerable against left-handed bats. Toronto’s 4.89 implied run total is decent, but this doesn’t necessarily grade out as a priority offense tonight. Rowdy Tellez, Justin Smoak, Derek Fisher and Cavan Biggio look passable with the platoon advantage against Eovaldi, while you can always chase the power of Vladimir Guerrero, Randal Grichuk or Bo Bichette from the right side of the plate. The Jays are affordable, so if you need the salary relief I don’t mind looking here.
Stackability – YELLOW