MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, September 10th - CHC @ SDP
Chicago Cubs at San Diego – 10:10 PM ET
Jose Quintana carries a 21.2% strikeout rate into his start in San Diego. He’s been good about limiting walks (6.4%) but there isn’t much else about his numbers that stands out. He’ll face a bunch of righties tonight, but the Padres’ projected lineup has a high 24% K-rate against southpaws. Quintana has had a few mammoth strikeout games this season, but he’s also priced near his ceiling around the industry. The left-hander is a solid play in a vacuum, but on this slate he looks best served as a differentiator in tournaments.
Quick Breakdown: Quintana is a decent low-owned tournament option, but he’s not at the top of my list.
Ronald Bolanos was decent in his debut, as he struck out 4 while limiting the Diamondbacks to just 2 runs in 6 innings of work. The right-hander had a strikeout rate around 25% at the minor league level this season, so there’s a little bit of upside here. The Cubs being without Javier Baez is helpful, but it’s still a talented lineup top-to-bottom. Bolanos is the minimum on Yahoo, but his price has risen on DK and FD. Considering guys like Chase Anderson and Elieser Hernandez look more appealing at comparable price points, this doesn’t look like the spot to be targeting Bolanos.
Quick Breakdown: Bolanos is an interesting name to keep an eye on, but I’ll be fading him tonight.
Batter Grind Down
Bolanos looks like a decent pitcher, and the Cubs’ 4.90 implied run total isn’t in the top tier tonight. Lefties are probably the best way to attack him at this point, which means Anthony Rizzo and Kyle Schwarber look like the best options on the Chicago side. The problem is that you’re having to pay a premium for both. Nico Hoerner went wild in his debut last night, and he’s still free around the industry. I wouldn’t count on a repeat performance, but he’s still an appealing punt option where he’s available. Kris Bryant, Nicholas Castellanos and Willson Contreras are secondary spends tonight.
Stackability – YELLOW
Quintana is one of the better pitchers starting tonight, but he does have a wide platoon split and the Padres do have right-handed power to throw his way. Manny Machado (.462 wOBA, .396 ISO) has torched left-handed pitching this season, and he looks like an awesome option against a guy that has allowed 18 homers to RHBs. Hunter Renfroe (.369 ISO) and Wil Myers (.301) have shown big power against lefties, while Ty France, Manuel Margot and Austin Hedges are viable value bats. The Padres’ 4.10 implied run total is one of the lowest on the slate, but I like the value you can get with SD hitters in this spot.
Stackability – YELLOW / ORANGE