MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, September 10th - OAK @ HOU
Oakland at Houston – 8:10 PM ET
Tanner Roark is yet another pitcher whose price tag is absurd on DraftKings ($9,700), so he’s probably the easiest fade on the slate over there. He’s more reasonably priced on the other sites, but he’s still facing a brutal matchup against an Astros lineup that has put 36 runs on the board over the last 16 innings. Roark’s platoon splits should help him against some of Houston’s better bats, but the Astros’ projected lineup is more lefty-heavy than usual. Roark could see 5 LHBs tonight, and the Astros’ 5.48 implied total is up there.
Quick Breakdown: Roark is an easy fade in all formats.
Wade Miley failed to record an out in his last start against the Mariners, and he’ll look to bounce back tonight in a difficult spot against the A’s. Oakland will likely have 8 right-handed bats in the lineup against him, which is obviously suboptimal. Miley has been solid this season, but he’s expensive and the A’s are a low-strikeout (19.6% vs. LHP), high-powered (.220 ISO) lineup against left-handed pitching.
Quick Breakdown: Miley is overpriced, especially for this matchup.
Batter Grind Down
The A’s 4.52 implied run total is nothing crazy, but they’re always appealing whenever they’re facing a left-hander. Miley has been effective this season, but he still has a wide split (.304 wOBA vs. RHB) and he doesn’t miss many bats. Oakland’s hitters are also pretty cheap. It’s not the highest probability stack, but there’s merit to looking at these hitters in tournaments. Matt Chapman and Marcus Semien really stand out, while Mark Canha, Josh Phegley / Sean Murphy, Chad Pinder and Khris Davis are all very easy to afford.
Stackability – YELLOW / ORANGE
The splits for Roark have been pronounced this season. He’s held righties in check (.278 wOBA), but lefties are up at .369 with 11 homers against him. Michael Brantley and Yordan Alvarez obviously stand out, while Abraham Toro, Kyle Tucker and Josh Reddick profile well, too. Brantley at $4,100 on DraftKings looks like a mistake. Jose Altuve, George Springer and Alex Bregman are playable against anyone, so feel free to include the power righties in any Houston stacks. This isn’t the greatest matchup, but this lineup is still fully capable of winning the slate again.
Stackability – GREEN / YELLOW