MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, September 10th - STL @ COL
St. Louis at Colorado – 8:40 PM ET
Michael Wacha will start tonight in Denver after serving as an opener last time out. While he has looked better of late, his season-long numbers still leave plenty to be desired. His 19.3% strikeout rate is underwhelming and his 5.06 SIERA is downright bad. I don’t think he’s the worst play on the slate considering how terrible the Rockies have been, but we have other good cheap pitchers in actual good spots on this slate. As a result, we don’t need to be targeting Wacha.
Quick Breakdown: Fade Wacha in all formats.
Chi Chi Gonzalez dominated the Dodgers last time out, but that’s not happening again. His 11.9% strikeout rate is the lowest on the slate, and the Cardinals have an implied run total north of 7.
Quick Breakdown: Gonzalez is the worst play on the slate.
Batter Grind Down
As mentioned, the Cardinals have the highest implied run total on the night. Gonzalez has shown okay ground ball ability, but pitch-to-contact types typically don’t last long in this ballpark. Any Cardinal in the lineup tonight is a viable option. Paul Goldschmidt, Marcell Ozuna, Matt Carpenter and Paul DeJong are the top bats, followed by Dexter Fowler, Kolten Wong, Harrison Bader, Yadier Molina and Tommy Edman. Jose Martinez and Yairo Munz are potential value options if they sneak into the lineup. This is the top stack on the slate, so load ‘em up.
Stackability – BLUE
Wacha has allowed a .375 wOBA with 17 homers to his fellow righties this season. Nolan Arenado and Trevor Story happen to hit from the right side, and they’re pretty clearly the top options on the Colorado side of things. Wacha has also yielded a .335 mark to lefties, so Charlie Blackmon, Sam Hilliard, Daniel Murphy and Ryan McMahon are strong options, too. The Rockies have an implied run total of 6.47, so don’t hesitate to stack them up, either.
Stackability – GREEN