MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, September 10th - WAS @ MIN
Washington at Minnesota – 7:40 PM ET
Twins-Nationals should be a fun series, but maybe not for the pitchers. Anibal Sanchez has a middling 19.3% strikeout rate on the year and his 5.12 SIERA is over a run higher than his 4.11 ERA. Tonight he’ll be facing a stacked Twins lineup with a high 5.61 implied run total, and he won’t have the luxury of facing a pitcher in an AL ballpark. Sanchez is yet another pitcher whose price tag looks better on FD and Y! than it does on DK, but I just don’t see any reason to play him anywhere tonight.
Quick Breakdown: Sanchez is a fine fade everywhere.
Jose Berrios has seen his K-rate dip from 25.4% last year to 22.9% this season. He has lowered his walk rate, but his 4.32 SIERA is pretty average, especially compared to his 3.78 ERA. Nothing about Berrios’ performance so far this season warrants a $9,900 price tag on DraftKings, but that’s where he is tonight. He draws a brutal matchup against a Nationals lineup that doesn’t strike out a whole lot, plus they’ll get to add a DH. No reason to look to either pitcher in this one.
Quick Breakdown: This isn’t the spot for Berrios.
Batter Grind Down
Berrios has been taken deep 24 times so far this season, though his splits look fairly neutral overall. The Nationals always make for an appealing stack, especially when they’re facing a pitcher that really hasn’t been missing many bats. The power lefties (Juan Soto, Matt Adams) look pretty good, while Anthony Rendon, Trea Turner, Ryan Zimmerman and Brian Dozier are solid options from the other side of the plate. Washington has a 4.89 implied run total, but given the power in the lineup it’s a high-upside stack. Howie Kendrick, Victor Robles and Yan Gomes / Kurt Suzuki are viable if you’re stacking.
Stackability – GREEN / YELLOW
Sanchez has been a hittable pitcher this season, with lefties having slightly better numbers thus far. The Twins are pretty banged up right now, but if they put out their usual strong lineup this is obviously a high-upside offense worth targeting. Eddie Rosario is a tick too cheap given his power against opposite-handed pitching. Ditto for Jorge Polanco. You’re paying a premium for Max Kepler, Miguel Sano and Nelson Cruz, but they’re easy to like if they’re in the lineup. Jason Castro is a cheap catcher worth a look if he’s in there, too. Minnesota could go overlooked on a Coors slate, but if the usual sluggers are in there this looks like a worthy stack.
Stackability – GREEN