MLB Grind Down: Wednesday, August 14th

The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis into the upcoming MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Note: As always, if you want to try a new DFS site, be sure to click through a RotoGrinders link and use our DraftKings promo code, FanDuel promo code, and FantasyDraft promo code to receive the best perks in the industry.



Stackability Rating System:

BLUE – One of the top stacks of the slate.
GREEN – A full stack is viable in GPPs.
YELLOW – Not the best stack, but hitters are in play.
ORANGE – Tread lightly, but potentially target a hitter or two.
RED – Fade this offense in all formats.




Texas at Toronto – 12:37 PM ET

There are nine early games on the schedule today. FanDuel has broken them up into a five-game very early slate and a four-game early slate. DraftKings has all nine featured on their early slate. Allard made 20 starts at the Triple-A level this season, posting a 4.64 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 21%. He’s done a nice job of inducing ground balls, but that’s not enough to warrant consideration in DFS. He’s an easy fade on the road against the Blue Jays, whose projected lineup has an average xwOBA of .343 against left-handed pitching.

Quick Breakdown: Avoid Allard in all formats.

Reid-Foley has yet to find his footing at the major league level. He’s shown some upside in the minors, but owns a 5.65 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 19% in five major league starts this season. He has struggled with left-handed power in each of the last two seasons, which doesn’t bode well for a matchup against the Rangers. Their projected lineup has five lefties in it and all of them own a .175+ ISO against right-handed pitching.

Quick Breakdown: Reid-Foley offers more risk than upside at this price point, even in a small slate.

Batter Grind Down

The Rangers didn’t exactly help my cause last night. I faded Thomas Pannone in hopes that Texas could score some runs against him. Unfortunately, I was mistaken. They draw a better matchup today against Sean Reid-Foley, who has allowed a .190+ ISO to left-handed hitters in each of the last two seasons. Shin-Soo Choo, Danny Santana, Willie Calhoun, Nomar Mazara, and Rougned Odor all have decent power against right-handed pitching. They should all garner low ownership as well, which is never bad for tournaments.

Elite Plays – Shin-Soo Choo, Nomar Mazara (GPP), Rougned Odor (GPP)

Secondary PlaysNomar Mazara (Cash), Rougned Odor (Cash), Danny Santana (GPP), Willie Calhoun (GPP)

StackabilityYELLOW

The Blue Jays’ offense has been on an absolute tear recently. Over the last two weeks of play, they are ranked third in wRC+ (136). They are playing at home in a hitter-friendly ballpark and they draw an exploitable matchup against rookie Kolby Allard. He’s a southpaw with middling numbers in the minors. A full stack is certainly intriguing here, as Bo Bichette (.366 xwOBA), Vladimir Guerrero (.334 xwOBA), Justin Smoak (.322 xwOBA), and Teoscar Hernandez (.338 xwOBA) all have good numbers against left-handed pitching.

Elite PlaysBo Bichette, Vladimir Guerrero, Justin Smoak

Secondary PlaysCavan Biggio (GPP), Randal Grichuk (GPP), Teoscar Hernandez (GPP), Danny Jansen (DK)

StackabilityGREEN

About the Author

  • Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

  • Derek Farnsworth, aka Notorious, is one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS, thanks in large part to the great advice he gives on a daily basis in RotoGrinders.com’s Grind Down for NBA and MLB as well as the First Look column that gives a preview of the day’s games from a DFS perspective. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Masters Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in multiple sports. Farnsworth provides expert analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis during the NBA season and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards.

    Interview after $100,000 Win

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