MLB Grind Down: Wednesday, August 21st - CLE @ NYM
Cleveland at NY Mets – 7:10 PM ET
Plutko hasn’t shown much in his 12 major league starts this season. He owns a 5.44 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 14%. He throws a lot of strikes, but needs a great matchup to warrant consideration in any format. The Mets have been solid against right-handed pitching on the season, but they are missing two of their best hitters in Jeff McNeil and Robinson Cano. Their projected lineup has an average xwOBA of only .306 with an average k-rate of 23% against right-handed pitching. Plutko sees a positive park shift and he gets to face the opposing pitcher in the lineup.
Quick Breakdown: For the first time in a long time, Plutko is on my radar as an SP2.
Stroman has made 24 starts this season, posting a 4.49 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 20%. Those numbers aren’t great as a whole, but he’s one of the better pitchers in baseball at inducing ground balls and limiting damage. This allows him to prevent runs with the best of them (3.21 ERA). The Indians lose the use of the DH in this series, but are still a formidable opponent. Cleveland’s projected lineup has an average xwOBA of .335 with an average k-rate of 19% against right-handed pitching.
Quick Breakdown: Avoid Stroman in all formats.
Batter Grind Down
This game features a total of 9.0 runs, but I have very little interest in these two offenses. Marcus Stroman has an elite ground ball rate (55%) and has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .305 xwOBA and under a .150 ISO this season. The Indians have a talented offense, but they lose the DH in this series and they see a negative park shift playing in New York. There are better offenses to target for both cash games and tournaments.
Elite Plays – None
Stackability – ORANGE
The Mets have a decent matchup against Adam Plutko, but not having Jeff McNeil and Robinson Cano hurts the appeal of the offense as a whole. On the season, Plutko has held right-handed hitters to a .312 xwOBA, while allowing a .344 xwOBA and a .246 ISO to batters from the left side of the plate. Joe Panik has been swinging a hot bat and offers nice value batting second, while Michael Conforto is the one and only upside play from this game. He owns a .407 xwOBA and a .274 ISO against right-handed pitching this season.
Elite Plays – Michael Conforto (GPP)
Stackability – ORANGE