MLB Grind Down: Wednesday, August 21st - TOR @ LAD
Toronto at LA Dodgers – 10:10 PM ET
Godley will serve as the primary reliever tonight against the Dodgers. He draws an awful matchup against the Dodgers and he hasn’t thrown more than 55 pitches in any of his last four outings. He’s an easy fade in all formats, especially at his current price point.
Quick Breakdown: Avoid Godley in cash games and tournaments.
It’s still early, but it looks like Verlander is going to garner the most ownership, followed by Buehler and then Darvish. If that holds, I have the most interest in Darvish. However, all three are elite options and it’s really hard to go wrong with any of them. Buehler has a 29% strikeout rate with a walk rate of 5% this season. The Blue Jays see a negative park shift and they lose the use of the DH in this series. Their projected lineup has an average k-rate of 25% against right-handed pitching.
Quick Breakdown: If I’m ranking the three aces tonight (salaries included), I’ll go Darvish, Verlander, and then Buehler.
Batter Grind Down
The Blue Jays have one of the lowest implied totals on the board and one of the worst matchups. Walker Buehler has an elite strikeout rate and he has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .280 xwOBA. Once again, there are better ways to create leverage on the field than loading up on the Blue Jays.
Elite Plays – None
Secondary Plays – None
Stackability – RED
The Dodgers were one of a few stacks that went nuts in last night’s slate. As noted in the Grind Down, they tend to get overlooked when they play at home. They draw an exploitable matchup against Zack Godley, who has allowed a .360+ xwOBA to both left and right-handed hitters this season. Meanwhile, each of the first five batters in the Dodgers’ lineup has a wRC+ of at least 120 against right-handed pitching — Joc Pederson, Max Muncy, Justin Turner, Cody Bellinger, and Corey Seager.
Stackability – GREEN