MLB Grind Down: Wednesday, June 12th - DET @ KCR
Detroit at Kansas City – 8:15 PM ET
Norris is only $5,000 on DraftKings tonight, so I expect him to garner ownership. Personally, if I’m dipping that low I would rather take a shot on David Hess. He has a good track record against Toronto and provides direct leverage off of a popular stack. Norris has a low strikeout rate and he’s a fly-ball pitcher that allows a lot of hard contact.
Quick Breakdown: Avoid Norris in all formats.
For me to consider Duffy, I need to see two things — his fastball velocity trending upward and his swinging strike rate in the double digits. He recorded his highest average fastball velocity (93.1 MPH) of the season his last time out and has a swinging strike rate of at least 11.8% in three of his last four starts. I like what I’m seeing with Duffy and I like his matchup against the Tigers, whose projected lineup has an average k-rate of 27% against left-handed pitching.
Quick Breakdown: Duffy has a lower floor than Mikolas, but he certainly offers a higher ceiling. He’s on my radar for tournaments.
Batter Grind Down
When I first looked at the slate, I expected to have interest in the Tigers’ offense. Historically, Danny Duffy has been shelled by right-handed hitters and the Tigers obviously have a right-handed heavy lineup. However, Duffy’s numbers are trending in the right direction and he hasn’t given up nearly as much hard contact as he normally does. Nick Castellanos (.437 xwOBA) is still a tremendous one-off target, but I plan to be underweight on the Tigers as a whole.
Elite Plays – Nick Castellanos
Secondary Plays – Miguel Cabrera (GPP)
Stackability – ORANGE
The Royals aren’t expected to garner ownership tonight, which could be a mistake by the field. Daniel Norris has struggled with both left and right-handed hitters, he has a low strikeout rate, and he gives up a lot of home runs. Meanwhile, the Royals have a nice mix of both speed and power. Norris hasn’t given up many stolen bases recently, but did allow 17 back in 2017. Whit Merrifield, Adalberto Mondesi, Hunter Dozier, and Jorge Soler are all viable in tournaments.
Stackability – YELLOW