MLB Grind Down: Wednesday, June 12th - STL @ MIA
St. Louis at Miami – 7:10 PM ET
Mikolas is one of the top pitching options of the slate, which says more about the slate in general than it does about his skill level. He’s typically a better pitcher in real life than in fantasy baseball because he doesn’t offer much upside. In 13 starts this season, he has a 4.40 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 18%. However, he’s been very tough on righties, he induces a lot of ground balls, and he can pitch deep into games. He draws an exploitable matchup against the right-handed heavy Marlins’ lineup that has an average xwOBA under .300 with a strikeout rate of 25% against right-handed pitching.
Quick Breakdown: Mikolas is my favorite SP2 of the slate.
Jose Urena was placed on the IL, so the Marlins called up Yamamoto to make his major league debut. He doesn’t rank too high on the Marlins’ prospect list and while his numbers in the minors are appealing, he has never pitched above the Double-A level. I like to trust Vegas in these situations and Yamamoto is listed as a large underdog in a game that features a total of 8.0 runs.
Quick Breakdown: I’ll take a wait and see approach on Yamamoto.
Batter Grind Down
We don’t have a lot to break down with the Cardinals. They are facing a rookie pitcher in Jordan Yamamoto that has yet to pitch at the Triple-A or major league level. His Double-A numbers are decent, but this is clearly a step up in competition. I only plan to make one lineup tonight, so I doubt I’ll end up with any exposure to the Cardinals. With that said, you can certainly make a case to stack them in tournaments. There is plenty of firepower in this lineup and they should garner little to no ownership.
Stackability – YELLOW
I wish I would have given Dakota Hudson more thought yesterday. He has a 72% ground ball rate against righties and was facing a right-handed heavy lineup with very little power. I won’t be making that same mistake again with Miles Mikolas. He has held righties to a .296 xwOBA with a 52% ground ball rate this season. Curtis Granderson rates out as a decent one-off if you need value in the outfield, but that’s all I see tonight for the Marlins.
Elite Plays – None
Secondary Plays – Curtis Granderson
Stackability – ORANGE