MLB Grind Down: Wednesday, June 19th - COL @ ARI

Colorado at Arizona – 9:40 PM ET

Gray is always worth a look in tournaments, especially when he’s pitching on the road. He has a wide range of potential outcomes, but that’s something that we look for in GPPs. When we get those high ceiling games, they can swing big payouts in our favor. He draws an exploitable matchup against the Diamondbacks, whose projected lineup has an average xwOBA of .304 with a strikeout rate of 22% against right-handed pitching.

Quick Breakdown: Gray is too volatile for cash games, but his upside puts him on my radar for tournaments.

Greinke should be applauded for his consistency, both year over year and start to start. In 2019, he owns a 3.87 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 24% and a walk rate of 4%. He’s the opposite of Jon Gray — he has a high floor, but rarely hits that ceiling game that we look for in tournaments. He draws a favorable matchup against the Rockies, whose projected lineup has an average xwOBA of .292 with a strikeout rate of 23% against right-handed pitching.

Quick Breakdown: In this game specifically, Greinke is the better cash game target and Gray is the better GPP play.

Batter Grind Down

The good news for the Rockies is that the roof will be open at Chase Field and that it should be close to 100 degrees at first pitch. The bad news is that they have struggled offensively on the road and that they draw a tough matchup against Zack Greinke. In addition to an above-average strikeout rate, Greinke has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .305 xwOBA. Each of the first four batters in this lineup boast a .340+ xwOBA against right-handed pitching, but they are secondary options at best.

Elite Plays – None

Secondary PlaysCharlie Blackmon, Trevor Story, David Dahl, Nolan Arenado


Against right-handed hitters, Jon Gray has a 29% strikeout rate and a 50% ground ball rate. He has held righties to a .282 xwOBA and a .323 xwOBA over the last two seasons. Basically, we should only be interested in the lefties here. Ketel Marte, David Peralta, and Eduardo Escobar are viable in large-field tournaments, but I doubt I’ll have any exposure to them given the size of the slate.

Elite Plays – None

Secondary PlaysKetel Marte (GPP), David Peralta (GPP), Eduardo Escobar (GPP)


About the Author

  • Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

  • Derek Farnsworth, aka Notorious, is one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS, thanks in large part to the great advice he gives on a daily basis in’s Grind Down for NBA and MLB as well as the First Look column that gives a preview of the day’s games from a DFS perspective. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Masters Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in multiple sports. Farnsworth provides expert analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis during the NBA season and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards.


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