MLB Grind Down: Wednesday, June 19th - MIA @ STL
Miami at St. Louis – 8:15 PM ET
Richards is a pitcher that you can target in the right matchup, but his reverse splits don’t set up well for a matchup against the Cardinals. They are likely going to roll out six or seven righties and their projected lineup has an average strikeout rate of only 19% against right-handed pitching.
Quick Breakdown: Richards has a low floor and a ceiling in this matchup. He’s a deep tournament flier at best.
Ponce de Leon has a low ERA this season, but the underlying statistics don’t support it. His numbers in the minors were mediocre at best, so even in a matchup against the Marlins, I am hesitant to play him in anything other than tournaments. I see him as an ownership play in tonight’s slate. If he’s going to be low owned, I can fire him up in tournaments against a right-handed heavy Marlins’ offense. If he’s going to be highly owned, I will take him out of my player pool.
Quick Breakdown: Ponce de Leon is far from a priority play, but he’s worth a look in tournaments if he’s going to be low owned.
Batter Grind Down
The Marlins have been scrappy at the plate over the last few weeks, but still have one of the least talented offenses in baseball. They are playing on the road in a pitcher-friendly ballpark, so we should temper our expectations. With that said, Daniel Ponce de Leon had mediocre numbers in the minors and hasn’t shown great control at the major league level. Curtis Granderson, Garrett Cooper, and Brian Anderson are decent GPP fliers.
Elite Plays – None
Stackability – ORANGE
Trevor Richards has had traditional splits for a right-hander this season, but has historically struggled with right-handed power. I’ll trust the five-year sample over a half-season sample and roll with the right-handed hitters in the Cardinals’ offense. Matt Carpenter is never a bad option for cash games, but Paul Goldschmidt, Paul DeJong, and Marcell Ozuna are the top targets here.
Stackability – YELLOW