MLB Grind Down: Wednesday, June 19th - SFG @ LAD
San Francisco at LA Dodgers – 10:10 PM ET
We have a low total on our hands tonight in Los Angeles, but that has more to do with Rich Hill and the offenisve struggles of the Giants’ offense than it does with Pomeranz. He has a decent strikeout rate this season, but he gives up a lot of hard contact and struggles with batters from both sides of the plate. He offers more risk than reward in a road start against the Dodgers.
Quick Breakdown: Avoid Pomeranz in all formats.
Hill is one of the safest pitchers of the slate tonight, especially if you don’t want to roster Max Scherzer with his broken nose. In nine starts this season, he has a 3.55 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 28% and a walk rate of 6%. He draws an elite matchup against the Giants, whose projected lineup has an average xwOBA of .288 and an average strikeout rate of 27% against left-handed pitching.
Quick Breakdown: Hill is an elite play in all formats.
Batter Grind Down
The Giants are an offense that I avoid whenever possible. They are playing on the road in a pitcher-friendly ballpark and they draw an awful matchup against Rich Hill. In addition to having an above-average strikeout rate, he has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .285 xwOBA this season. If you need value, I suppose Donovan Solano and Buster Posey aren’t the worst plays, but that’s not exactly a ringing endorsement.
Elite Plays – None
Stackability – ORANGE
Drew Pomeranz is a fly-ball pitcher that gives up a lot of hard contact. The Dodgers are a talented offense that tends to play well at home. On the season, Pomeranz has allowed a .335+ xwOBA to both left and right-handed hitters. Enrique Hernandez and Chris Taylor rate out as two of the best values of the slate, while Justin Turner, Cody Bellinger, and Max Muncy are all viable at their respective positions.
Stackability – YELLOW