NFL DFS Picks and Analysis - Week 3: The Grind Down

Welcome to the RotoGrinders NFL Grind Down, a fantasy football advice article for DraftKings, FanDuel, and Yahoo. This DFS breakdown is an all-encompassing preview of the week ahead in the NFL from a daily fantasy sports perspective. We’ll provide all the projections, projected ownership, picks, targets, and analysis you need to set your lineups for this week’s contests.

Every game will be broken down with a DFS-first mentality. Betting lines are shown with projected team totals, spreads, and moneyline to give you an idea of the game environment. Each contest is then analyzed team-by-team, with a focus on finding matchups to exploit and trends to follow. At the end of each section, we’ll deliver a DFS cheat sheet of stacks to build, players to target, and low projected ownership plays that can make an impact on your weekly success.

Weekly Premium DFS Resources for This Game

Your Premium Tool Access: Use These in Combination With The Grind Down
LineupHQ: Lineup optimizer with integrated tools.
GridironIQ: Stats and Data to help influence your projections
Projected Ownership: Expected draft percentage for each player.
Player Projections: For every player, game, and team.
Stats and Data App: Create custom GPP projections.
Expert Rankings: Consensus best plays.


Sports Betting Lines and Overview


Cleveland Browns DFS Breakdown

Team Projections

QB Team DKSal FDSal YHSal Proj Rank ProjAtt ProjYds
Baker Mayfield CLE $6,000 $6,800 $22 18 QB22 33.94 258.96
RB Team DKSal FDSal YHSal Proj Rank ProjRu% ProjTar%
Nick Chubb CLE $7,600 $7,800 $32 15.6 RB12 57.48% 8.05%
Kareem Hunt CLE $5,600 $5,600 $18 12 RB27 27.86% 11.20%
Demetric Felton CLE $4,500 $4,800 $10 1.9 RB75 0.00% 0.44%
WR/TE Team DKSal FDSal YHSal Proj Rank ProjTar% ProjTar
Odell Beckham CLE $5,300 $6,500 $24 12.7 WR42 0.00% 0.00
Donovan Peoples-Jones CLE $3,000 $5,500 $10 5.6 WR90 13.18% 4.44
Rashard Higgins CLE $4,200 $5,300 $14 5 WR96 3.99% 1.34
Anthony Schwartz CLE $3,200 $4,800 $11 5.2 WR94 12.17% 4.10
Austin Hooper CLE $3,600 $5,300 $12 8.4 TE14 12.59% 4.24
David Njoku CLE $3,500 $5,000 $11 5.8 TE30 10.36% 3.49
NFL DFS Analysis

The Browns struggled with consistency last season and that’s been the case through the first two games of this season as well. They nearly pulled off a huge upset against the Chiefs in Kansas City and then let the Texans hang around for far too long last week. Ultimately, they have a chance to improve to 2-1 with a win at home against the Bears. The biggest stories thus far have been the injuries to key offensive players (Baker Mayfield, Jarvis Landry, Odell Beckham) and the lack of plays being made on the defensive side of the ball (27th in DVOA against the pass and 31st in DVOA against the run).

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