How to Project a Range of Outcomes for Each Player

Armed with the knowledge of positional CV, you are finally ready to project a range of outcomes for each player. Positional CV will be used to project a low (floor) and a high (ceiling) outcome for each player within that position group.

I’ll do an example using quarterbacks to illustrate how to arrive at the formula. Then I’ll list the formulas for the rest of the positions. Note that I list both FanDuel and DraftKings formulas. FanDuel formulas can be used for any site with similar scoring to FanDuel, and DraftKings formulas can be used for any site with similar scoring to — you guessed it — DraftKings.

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About the Author

chrisraybon
Chris Raybon (chrisraybon)

One of the most well respected DFS analysts in the industry. Chris Raybon (@Chris Raybon) is the Senior DFS Editor for 4for4.com and the host of the DFS MVP Podcast. Nominated for the FWSA‘s Newcomer of the Year award in 2015, Raybon is known for his DFS Playbook positional strategy guides as well as his groundbreaking work on stacking with running backs in DFS tournaments. A Syracuse University alum who specialized in accounting, Raybon believes in the synergy of quantitative and qualitative analysis. He started playing fantasy as a kid in the mid-90s and has seen every single play of every single NFL game since 2010.