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Lesson 2: Beyond the Advanced Stats: Pitchers

JM Tohline (JMToWin)

JM Tohline (Tuh-lean) – DFS alias JMToWin – is a novelist and a DFS player who specializes in high-stakes MLB and NFL tourneys, with a strategy geared toward single-entry play in multi-entry tourneys. He joined the DFS scene at the beginning of the 2014 MLB season, and has since won five DFS championship seats and two separate trips to the Bahamas. His tendency to type a lot of words leads to a corresponding tendency to divulge all his DFS thoughts, strategies, and secrets…which is exactly what he does in his RotoGrinders articles and RotoAcademy courses. You can find JM on Twitter at JMToWin.

The stats are the starting point. But it’s the stuff beyond the stats that will really give you an advantage! These are the things that begin to open the doors to low-owned pitchers everyone else is undervaluing – as your competition rosters the names, and you roster the numbers.

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Righty/Lefty-Heavy Lineups

As was mentioned last lesson, this is a great way to balance expectations for your pitcher. You will regularly find pitchers facing a team that has a 24% or 25% strikeout rate against that pitcher’s handedness. As we talked about already: you will want to bump up your pitcher’s strikeout expectations accordingly. For example (if we set league average strikeout rate at 20%), a team that strikes out 24% of the time against righties strikes out 20% more often against righties than the league-average team. This means that a right-handed pitcher facing this team can expect his strikeout rate to rise by 20%. A guy with a 15% strikeout rate would become an 18% strikeout guy if he could face this team over and over again. A guy with a 25% strikeout rate would become a 30% strikeout guy if he could face this team over and over again.

Let’s pull out that last example for a moment, as it’s something most people severely undervalue.

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About the Author

  • JM Tohline (JMToWin)

  • JM Tohline (Tuh-lean) – DFS alias JMToWin – is a novelist and a DFS player who specializes in high-stakes MLB and NFL tourneys, with a strategy geared toward single-entry play in multi-entry tourneys. He joined the DFS scene at the beginning of the 2014 MLB season, and has since won five DFS championship seats and two separate trips to the Bahamas. His tendency to type a lot of words leads to a corresponding tendency to divulge all his DFS thoughts, strategies, and secrets…which is exactly what he does in his RotoGrinders articles and RotoAcademy courses. You can find JM on Twitter at JMToWin.

Instructor

JM Tohline (Tuh-lean) – DFS alias JMToWin – is a novelist and a DFS player who specializes in high-stakes MLB and NFL tourneys, with a strategy geared toward single-entry play in multi-entry tourneys. He joined the DFS scene at the beginning of the 2014 MLB season, and has since won five DFS championship seats and two separate trips to the Bahamas. His tendency to type a lot of words leads to a corresponding tendency to divulge all his DFS thoughts, strategies, and secrets…which is exactly what he does in his RotoGrinders articles and RotoAcademy courses. You can find JM on Twitter at JMToWin.

RotoGrinders.com is the home of the daily fantasy sports community. Our content, rankings, member blogs, promotions and forum discussion all cater to the players that like to create a new fantasy team every day of the week. Our goal is to help all of our members make more money playing daily fantasy sports!

Disclosures: All RotoGrinders content contributors are active DFS players. Contributor screen names can be found on their respective RotoGrinders profile pages. Contributors reserve the right to use players or strategies not discussed in their content on RotoGrinders.