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Predicting Pitching: Researching Matchups and Stats

Predicting Pitching: Researching Matchups and Stats is a comprehensive overview of how to research and analyze pitchers and their matchups in order to maximize output on a day-by-day basis.

In this course, you’ll learn:

• Which statistics matter in selecting a pitcher for daily fantasy baseball
• Where to find these statistics and how to organize them to streamline research
• What role matchups should play in pitcher selection
• How you should weigh long-term versus short-term statistics

9 lessons

  1. 1

    An Introduction to Predicting Pitchers

    Predicting Pitching: it is the foundation of MLB DFS. Predicting Pitching is not only essential to picking great pitchers for your DFS rosters (which will often be the difference between success and failure!), but is also essential to knowing which hitters to target on your rosters. By understanding “Predicting Pitching” alone, one can immediately become a consistently profitable MLB DFS player.

  2. 2

    How I Start Each Day of Research

    You look at a slate of games. You see anywhere from 20 to 30 pitchers. And the first thing you need to figure out is: Where do I begin? In this lesson, we will look at exactly how I start each day of research, and we will help you formulate a plan for attacking each slate the right way yourself.

  3. 3

    Pitcher Stats I Look At: The Basics

    Baseball, more than any other sport, is a house that is built atop a mountain of statistics. This is our greatest advantage in MLB DFS, but until you know which stats to pay attention to (and what sort of weight you should be giving each stat), you will never be able to tap into the advantage these statistics provide. In this lesson, we explore the basic statistics I look at in my assessment of each pitcher. These stats form the foundation of winning DFS rosters.

  4. 4

    Pitcher Stats I Look At: The Advanced

    This lesson is the “Algebra 2” to the “Algebra 1” of Lesson 3. In this lesson, we explore the advanced stats that will take your ability to predict pitching from the fundamental level to the next level – the level very few MLB DFSers ever manage to reach.

  5. 5

    How to Weigh Career Stats Versus Recent Stats

    “This guy has great stats over the last few weeks, but mediocre stats throughout his career. This other guy has mediocre stats over the last few weeks, but great stats throughout his career. What do I do?” If you think you know the answer to this question already, there’s a good chance you are wrong! With every statistical anomaly we witness, we are faced with a unique set of extenuating circumstances. Understanding how to assess and balance recent stats with long-term stats will be key to your ability to take your MLB DFS game to the highest possible level.

  6. 6

    How to Handle Unknown Arms

    Have you ever wondered how to handle a young pitcher making one of the first starts of his career? Do you jump on board because he’s so cheap, or do you take a “wait and see” approach? Understanding how to handle “unknown arms” can provide you with one of your greatest advantages in MLB DFS!

  7. 7

    What to Look For in Opposing Lineups

    Matchup matters! In fact, matchup matters more in baseball than in any other sport, and this makes it absolutely vital that you understand how to balance a pitcher’s standard value with the “value impact” of the lineup he is facing. By unlocking this door of understanding, you will reach a whole new level of MLB DFS success – reaching a place where you are consistently comfortable predicting which low-priced pitchers are in for a good game, and which high-priced pitchers carry more risk than normal.

  8. 8

    Selecting Pitchers

    This lesson is the first of two steps in locking the day’s best pitchers onto your roster with astounding consistency. Once you understand how to select pitchers and how to “Put it All Together,” you will find yourself operating on a different plateau than the one on which your competition resides, and will be in position to build consistently profitable MLB DFS rosters.

  9. 9

    Putting it All Together

    This lesson is the second of two steps in locking the day’s best pitchers onto your roster with astounding consistency. Once you understand how to select pitchers and how to “Put it All Together,” you will find yourself operating on a different plateau than the one on which your competition resides, and will be in position to build consistently profitable MLB DFS rosters.

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Predicting Pitching: Researching Matchups and Stats

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Instructor

JM Tohline

JM Tohline (Tuh-lean) – DFS alias JMToWin – is a novelist and a DFS player who specializes in high-stakes MLB and NFL tourneys, with a strategy geared toward single-entry play in multi-entry tourneys. He joined the DFS scene at the beginning of the 2014 MLB season, and has since won five DFS championship seats and two separate trips to the Bahamas. His tendency to type a lot of words leads to a corresponding tendency to divulge all his DFS thoughts, strategies, and secrets…which is exactly what he does in his RotoGrinders articles and RotoAcademy courses. You can find JM on Twitter at JMToWin.

RotoGrinders.com is the home of the daily fantasy sports community. Our content, rankings, member blogs, promotions and forum discussion all cater to the players that like to create a new fantasy team every day of the week. Our goal is to help all of our members make more money playing daily fantasy sports!

Disclosures: All RotoGrinders content contributors are active DFS players. Contributor screen names can be found on their respective RotoGrinders profile pages. Contributors reserve the right to use players or strategies not discussed in their content on RotoGrinders.