Right Off the Bat: How to Utilize Batted Ball Statistics is, first and foremost, a course with a long name. Second, it’s a guide to understanding batted ball profiles, why fly balls are good and very exploitable, and how to utilize this widely available data to create a big edge in daily fantasy baseball.
In this course, you’ll learn:
• Why fly balls are good and ground balls are bad
• Why batted ball profiles are extremely consistent
• Which types of hitters excel versus specific pitcher types
• Whether or not batted ball profiles are properly accounted for by DFS sites
• How to implement this knowledge into a competitive advantage
Fly balls lead to home runs. The more exposure you give yourself to fly balls, the more home runs you’ll generate. Learn why fly balls are so valuable and how to maximize them.
The value of any stat extends only insofar as it helps us make better predictions. To understand the value of fly balls—and more specifically, batted ball profiles—we need to determine if they’re consistent enough to be useful.
Certain stats are really valuable in theory, but end up being widely used and ultimately a component of daily site pricing. If fly ball rates are priced into salaries, either directly or indirectly, they wouldn’t offer value. This lesson offers unique data showing exactly how to exploit batted ball profiles.
If you want home runs, you want to target batters who will put the ball into the air on a consistent basis. But certain batter types match up with specific pitchers differently than others. Learn the pitcher type you can pick on to acquire more dingers.
At the end of the day, we need to take all of the data we have to make better predictions. Here’s the bottom line on how to use batted ball profiles and fly ball rates to truly maximize home run probability.
If you can make accurate predictions, you can make money playing daily fantasy sports. With the difficult part of maximizing home runs already taken care of, this lesson explains exactly how to see the greatest return on your time and how to best turn those predictions into cash.
Jonathan Bales is the founder of RotoAcademy and author of the Fantasy Sports for Smart People book series.