Using Game Theory in Daily Fantasy Football is a comprehensive overview of what role game theory plays in daily fantasy football, how you can use it to give yourself the best chance of maximizing profits, and how your implementation of game theory should vary based on contest size and game type.
In this course, you’ll learn:
• Why game theory matters and how to exploit opponent beliefs
• Which stats predict performance in daily fantasy football
• Which stats predict ownership in daily fantasy football
• How to implement an “antifragile” tournament strategy that benefits from randomness
Before diving fully into game theory, you need a proper understanding of what it is. This lesson provides examples of the implementation of game theory while setting the table for the rest of the course.
People may say that they pay attention to game theory in tournaments, but ownership levels do not always reflect this. This lesson goes through elements of game theory that are applicable to tournaments while showing the value of considering them while filling out your lineups.
No matter how savvy we are with game theory, it doesn’t matter if we can’t pick the right players. This lesson goes through which stats are most predictive of performance so that we can minimize the need to use game theory by making optimal decisions.
Because the collective crowd tends to make sound decisions, the highest-owned players will often be the best ones relative to their price. This lesson illustrates ways to combat that relationship and find when it’s okay to forego a player, even if they truly are a better value.
Ownership levels differ based on which position we look at. This lesson looks at those ownerships and points out strategies that can exploit ownership at a certain position.
Several factors will play large roles in determining weekly ownership for players. This lesson looks at those factors and shows how you can view them in order to potentially snag low-ownership tournament value.
The future of tournament rosters may be in seeking antifragility. This lesson explains what that is and presents a model for making your rosters antifragile so that they can benefit from the chaos of daily fantasy football.
Jonathan Bales is the founder of RotoAcademy and author of the Fantasy Sports for Smart People book series.