Blog Posts

  • Eight Players to Watch

    As we get deeper into the baseball season, many of the previous bargains become more obvious to everyone, while some of the unknown players who got off to hot starts are unable to sustain their performance and either come back down to earth a little bit, or in some cases, crash entirely. Here, I'm going to highlight 8 players, one from each offensive position who I have reason to believe should sustain a hot start or even continue to be bargains going forward. Read More

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    by MTro86 (MTro86)

  • Catcher is the New First Base

    First Base is at the bottom of the defensive spectrum. Consequently, a lot of teams will try to hide their big bats who are less than splendid with the glove there. That's not to say that there aren't some great fielding First Baseman, but unlike Catcher, Shortstop, or even Center Field, no First Basemen has ever kept their spot in the lineup for very long just for their glove. This means that First Basemen are usually the highest priced players in Daily Fantasy and often in great demand. In fact, I'd expect that if there were no price or positional limitations, you'd see more First Basemen in most DF lineups than any other position than perhaps Outfielder, but that's only because there are 3 times as many. Read More

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    by MTro86 (MTro86)

  • How Mitch Williams Cost Me A Game

    6.1 innings pitched, 4 earned runs, 2 home runs, 3 walks, and 2 strikeouts in 26 batters faced. That was "Andy Pettitte(player-profile)":/players/Andy_Pettitte-13453 's line in his triumphant return against the super weak hitting Mariners. Surely the Reds with 2 of the best left handed hitters in baseball (who also hit left handed pitchers well) would do better with that short right field porch. Even some of the right handed batters towards the bottom of their lineup (Frazier, Heisey, and Hannigan) had been hitting the ball better over the past few days. It seemed like several Reds could be a nice play on this day (May 18th). Read More

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    by MTro86 (MTro86)

  • Who's Your Closer?

    Not every Daily Fantasy Site utilizes reliever spots, but for the ones that do, it could mean the difference between a win or a loss on any given day. It's essential that you have some idea which closers are more likely than not to pitch each day, but this year we're not even sure who the closer is on some teams. Don't feel bad because some managers don't know who their closer is themselves. It's just the middle of May and already near half the league, through injury or ineffectiveness, has had some sort of turnover in their stopper role. Read More

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    by MTro86 (MTro86)

  • Off-Season April: How the Big Winter Transactions Have Worked Out

    It seems like every off-season we're continually WOW'ed by the contracts handed out by major league baseball teams and it seems that inevitably, more of them crash and burn than not. This winter was no different as there were not only several $100 million, but also $200 million free agent contracts and extensions signed to go along with a blockbuster trade or two. Through the months of February and March, I previewed most of the players moving to new teams (but not the ones who signed big extensions with their current team). Let's see how some of the bigger moves of the off-season have panned out so far through the 1st month of the 2012 season. Read More

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    by MTro86 (MTro86)

  • Changing an Approach To Daily Fantasy Baseball Part 4: Batter vs Pitcher

    It's one of the hottest topics of debate in Daily Fantasy Baseball and something that I've mentioned in blogs before and read about in other well written blogs on this site. Some players build their entire lineup around past Batter vs Pitcher results, while some think it's an unproven and often outdated tool and rarely consult it at all. Here, I'd like to suggest a different approach to BvP stats. Read More

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    by MTro86 (MTro86)

  • Changing an Approach To Daily Fantasy Baseball Part 3: Offense

    Part of being profitable in DFB (a huge part) is being able to find value in places that other players won't. I finally feel like I've found an angle that sets my approach apart now. While many DFB players are focusing on PPG, which essentially drives pricing models, I've gone another way. Out with counting stats, in with rate stats. But which ones? This is the topic of Part 3. Read More

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    by MTro86 (MTro86)

  • Changing an Approach To Daily Fantasy Baseball Part 2: Scoring Differences ande Value

    In Changing Your Approach to "Daily Fantasy Baseball Part I":/blog-posts/When_Everything_You_Know_Is_Wrong_Changing_an_Approach_to_Daily_Fantasy_Baseball-38027, I contemplated all the things I was doing wrong last baseball season and why such an approach was flawed in nature. Now, through much trial and error to take place in April, there is hope that I'll find my way towards a more profitable path in 2012. One consideration for the upcoming season is diversity. Do I want to focus on just one site or spread my action out across multiple venues. The key to playing on several sites at once, though, is more than just realizing the price differences on players across the board. Just as important is understanding the scoring differences which changes a player's overall value from one site to the next. Read More

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    by MTro86 (MTro86)

  • When Everything You Know Is Wrong: Changing an Approach to Daily Fantasy Baseball

    Last year was my first playing daily fantasy baseball (or any DFS for that matter). At the time, I was just getting into sabermetrics and it's only now, about a year later, that I'm comfortable in reading, writing, talking about, and applying most saber stats. But last year, I went with what you'd expect from most traditional sports fans and beginners. I looked for some rate stats (AVG, OBP, ERA), but a lot of counting stats (Hits, HR's, RBI, K's). I didn't always value sample sizes properly. I also used a number of projections from different sites when putting together my teams. Thanks to beginning on a site alongside many other beginners I did really well early on, but then pretty much broke even after finding RG and moving over to Draftstreet. When I started losing, I didn't understand why. I was out-dated and stubborn, unwilling to admit that my approach might be fundamentally wrong. Read More

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    by MTro86 (MTro86)

  • Baseball 2012: Same Faces, New Places (NL West)

    We come to the end of this month long epic with the NL West. All of these posts have taken on a life of their own and have become much larger than they were ever intended to be. Possibly a lot of TL;DR for most players still caught up in basketball season, but I think the biggest beneficiary of this assignment has been me. In researching all these players, even ones I didn't include write ups on, I've learned so much more about them myself. Read More

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    by MTro86 (MTro86)

  • Baseball 2012: Same Faces, New Places (NL Central)

    With the exodus of power hitting 1st basemen from the divisions top 2 teams, the Cincinnati Reds decided to go for it this year, shoring up their pitching staff at the expense of some young talent. Consequently, there appears to be a big split in the division with 3 teams expected to be good, 2 expected to be bad, and then there's the Pittsburgh Pirates who could be somewhere in between. Read More

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    by MTro86 (MTro86)

  • Baseball 2012: Same Faces, New Places (NL East)

    We're halfway home in our 2012 MLB preview and moving onto the National League. Immediately, in the NL East, we run into a scenario in 2 places that didn't occur at all in the American League. Both the Mets and Marlins will be dealing with different stadium dimensions this year. The Marlins because they are moving into a brand new stadium, the Mets because...well, why not move the walls in when nothing else works. Onto what's arguably the power division in the NL: Read More

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    by MTro86 (MTro86)

  • Baseball 2012: Same Faces, New Places (AL West)

    We come to the division with less teams than any other in baseball (until next year) which we're very thankful for in writing this post because there are a lot of players to talk about. I'd argue that no division saw more of an influx of impactful players enter during the off-season than the AL West. Then there's also the case of the A's who just accumulated a lot of.....uh....bodies for lack of a more descriptive term. I'm really gonna have to assume that Billy Beane hasn't lost his mind and knows a lot of somethings that we don't or Michael Lewis can make some more money writing the sequel..."Crazy Ball". Read More

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    by MTro86 (MTro86)

  • Baseball 2012: Same Faces, New Places (AL Central)

    Moving onto the AL Central, a division some people thought was up for grabs when "Victor Martinez(player-profile)":/players/Victor_Martinez-10259 was injured, but the Tigers answered by giving "Prince Fielder(player-profile)":/players/Prince_Fielder-10339 the keys to a bank vault because their owner thinks he could die before the contract becomes an albatross. I bet he doesn't recycle either. The Tigers became an even stronger favorite in a division of up and comers (Royals, Indians) and WTF's (Twins, White Sox). But we don't care about standings. We care about fantasy stats. Read More

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    by MTro86 (MTro86)

  • Baseball 2012: Same Faces, New Places (AL East Preview)

    BASEBALL! BASEBALL! BASEBALL! BASEBALL! Now that that's out of the way, it's hard to believe that it's time for pitchers and catchers already. The off-season inexplicably seemed so short, yet also so long both at the same time. Wasn't it both yesterday and also ages ago that "David Freese(player-profile)":/players/David_Freese-10441's line drive to right was mis-played by "Nelson Cruz(player-profile)":/players/Nelson_Cruz-10512. Read More

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    by MTro86 (MTro86)

  • Football Doesn't Have To End

    It's probably safe to say that football is the most popular of the fantasy sports and also that most sites might lose a significant portion of their traffic when the season ends. But fantasy football doesn't have to end just simply because the last scheduled game has been played. Rejoice NFL fans! I have devised a new fantasy game and scoring system allowing you to play and use your favorite players year round. Read More

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    by MTro86 (MTro86)

  • The Ghosts of Super Bowl Fantasy Past

    For the most part, fantasy doesn't exist in the Super Bowl. Some would say it's downright illegal. No..really, it's illegal. Anyone offering a Super Bowl only fantasy game with a cash buy-in could be facing hard time under federal statute. Buuuuuut, if we were to pretend that it was legal, here's what it would have looked like. (Hopefully RG can utilize the cloaking feature to make sure this isn't seen by the FBI.) Read More

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    by MTro86 (MTro86)

  • The Ghosts of Conference Championship Playoff Past

    *1970* The 1st year there are 2 Conference Championship games. Before that, the AFC just thought they were better than everyone else and didn't have any. The best team just automatically went to the Superbowl. Don't ask me why. I wasn't even born. But everybody knows they didn't play weekly fantasy football when there was just 1 game. (It would have been illegal.) Even way back then though, it was the 49er's and the Cowboys going at it in the NFC, while the Colts and Raiders played in the 1st ever AFC Championship game. Read More

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    by MTro86 (MTro86)

  • Four Questions For Divisional Playoff Weekend

    With only 4 games on the docket for the 2nd week in a row and prices inflated on most sites, the margin of error is minuscule if you want to win in the NFL this weekend. Just one bad selection could cost you dearly. There are 4 pertinent questions to be answered this weekend. Whoever answers these questions correctly will likely be a winner come Sunday night. This wasn't a blog I intended to write, but in thinking about these questions, I realized I had enough material for one and that maybe by writing it, I would be able to answer these questions myself. Read More

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    by MTro86 (MTro86)

  • The Ghosts of Divisional Playoff Fantasy Past (Part 2)

    *2001* *God Damn M*T#F&^$%N Tuck Rule!!!* The Raiders were on their way to the AFC Championship game and an eventual Superbowl victory. Up by 3 in the final seconds, they hit "Tom Brady(player-profile)":/players/Tom_Brady-11604 (19.08 points) forcing a fumble and effectively ending the game. But all of a sudden the officials invent a new rule on the spot (I swear!) because....because it's "Tom Brady(player-profile)":/players/Tom_Brady-11604....why else? They give the ball back to the Patriots who then tie the game and win it with another FG in OT 16-13. Patriot fans rejoice, while Raider DST (2 points) owners lose 5 fantasy points in the process. So starts the Patriot dynasty that never should have been. Read More

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    by MTro86 (MTro86)

  • The Ghosts of Divisional Playoff Fantasy Past (Part 1)

    Last week, the Wild Card entry of this series ended with...."_2011 – Several have come close, but nobody has recorded a 40 fantasy point game yet in Wild Card history. Will this weekend be the first?_" Well, "Calvin Johnson(player-profile)":/players/Calvin_Johnson-12198 read it and gave it a go with 39.1 points. This week, we look at Divisional Playoff games with a fantasy slant. Of course, again, fantasy wasn't an aspect in these games when they were being played which makes this all about fantasy points that weren't real or.....fantasy fantasy points? Read More

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    by MTro86 (MTro86)

  • The Ghosts of Wild Card Fantasy Past

    Fantasy football has been around for a while now, but daily fantasy is a much newer concept. Season long leagues are over by the playoffs and even if they weren't, certainly nobody was considering fantasy consequences way back in 1978 when the 1st NFL Wild Card games were played. So, I thought it would be fun to look back at all the Wild Card games through the years and see who would have had the big fantasy games and who might have cost players their weeks had it been relevant in years past. Read More

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    by MTro86 (MTro86)

  • A Word on Value Plus Some Random Thoughts

    We determine value in salary capped fantasy sports as points per dollar (P/$). Personally, I find that if I reach at least 125-130 points in a $100K cap contest, I win more than I lose. If I get above 140, I do really well. This means I should strive for somewhere around 1.5 P/$1K, but be content with no less than 1.25 P/$1K right? Read More

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    by MTro86 (MTro86)

  • Week 14 NFL Recap - Fantasy vs Reality

    Weekly recaps usually aren't my thing, but a lot of interesting and strange things happened Sunday. Things that look one way from a fantasy perspective, but so much differently from a real football perspective. In fantasy it's always just what you do, but for the sake of the standings and general non-fantasy fandom, it's often when you do something that counts just as much...just ask Bears fans how much they love "Marion Barber(player-profile)":/players/Marion_Barber-11714 for his 100+ yard day. I'm sure that these things happen every week, but maybe this is the 1st time I've paid enough attention to notice so many distinctions. If it proves interesting enough, I might make it a weekly thing next season. Read More

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    by MTro86 (MTro86)

Monthly Blogger Prizes

Blogger of the Month$200
Blogger of the Month Runner Up$100
Blog of the Month$75
Best New Blogger$50
Most Interesting$50

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