Posts by raiseontheriver
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Waste Management Phoenix Open (PGA)
Okay fine, I admit it's probably going to be -3. I wish Redman had just held on coming in. That bogey on 16 followed by par on 17 was a killer. Read More
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Waste Management Phoenix Open (PGA)
I know what the data says right now, that -3 is a slight favorite over -2 for the cut. But my own analysis seems like -2 is much more likely. I can't see a ton of the +1, +2 guys getting there with big rounds today. Of course, I could be wrong. Read More
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Farmers Insurance Open (PGA)
Well, friends, I'm off the cascading core this week. High on the Aussie's this week, think there's a good chance that Rahm runs away with this thing as the favorite by a few strokes. Eating some chalk with Corey Conners, Also, just ignoring the WX draw for... Read More
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NFL Playoffs, Divisional Round
Went with Evans/Smith/Fournette and won $4k in the single entry Sunday $12. Yes! Read More
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NFL Playoffs, Divisional Round
Rojo vs Fournette Evans vs Godwin Tre’quon vs Harris I keep going back and forth on all of these and can’t decide Read More
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The Sony Open (PGA)
Alright, went with cascading core again this week. Core is Berger, Munoz, Scott, EVR, Sabs and Straka. We'll see how things go... Read More
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The Sony Open (PGA)
This is the answer. Read More
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The Sony Open (PGA)
I tried cascading core for the first time last week and it was moderately successful, except I put MacKenzie Hughes in my core (which was my own damn fault). I'm trying it again with a close-to-full-field event to see what happens, so I want to give it on... Read More
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Sentry Tournament of Champions
The eagle has landed in Canada! Needed that! Read More
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Sentry Tournament of Champions
Mac Hughes is going to be 13 feet all day and miss every putt. I've seen this before. Read More
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Sentry Tournament of Champions
I'd actually lean more toward regression. I don't see his putter getting hot all of a sudden today with the subtle nature of these greens and to expect a ball-striking round like that two days in a row seems impossible. I know advanced metrics would say pl... Read More
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Sentry Tournament of Champions
In a post round interview he said it was the best ball striking round he's had in the past 5 years at least. Read More
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Sentry Tournament of Champions
I followed your 20 max strategy suggestion. My core is Ortiz/Niemann/Berger/Cam Smith/Hughes/JT We'll see how things go. Read More
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Sentry Tournament of Champions
Ryan Palmer 30% owned in the birdie... Read More
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Sentry Tournament of Champions
Is Ortiz going to be massive chalk? I'll be over the field but I just feel like even in this short event he's gonna be a major own. Read More
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Sentry Tournament of Champions
I'm going to try this approach this week. It's similar to how I build 20max already, but this gives a more specific structure. It's difficult to do this with the small player field so I had to make a few adjustments here and there, but I prefer high risk ... Read More
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Sentry Tournament of Champions
For 20max entries, in a short field like this, what kind of numbers for a player pool do you usually establish? Read More
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The Bermuda Championship (PGA)
What is the direct link on data golf (I think it's data golf) that predicts 6/6, 5/6 percentages? I can't find that link anymore. Read More
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The CJ Cup (PGA)
Dustin Johnson and Tony Finau are both WD. DJ has COVID Read More
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NFL Showdown 9/20 Patriots at Seahawks
Grabbed a tie of 1st with 11 billion people in the $15 bubble screen on DK scoring 162.49. Definitely the most obvious lineup of the night but if you're confident it's going to have a good chance to place high, I'd rather split 1st and win $350 then try to... Read More
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