Posts by RangerC

  • The Honda Classic (PGA)

    Had to run cut projection for this wild tourney: 59 guys at +5 73 guys at +6 79 guys at +7 Looking like a tight cut at +6 if the course plays the same, +7 live if winds are bad. +5 is more in play than it appears (only takes a small uptick in scoring to... Read More

    by RangerC (RangerC)

  • The Honda Classic (PGA)

    Lol this crappy team I have is in 230th (!) of the Fore: Berger/Louie/Webb/Dufner - then 22 pts combined from Sneds and Adam Scott. The guy in 1st at the moment has Uihlein at +3 and two of the top guys in the top 10 had Kaymer. If more high owned guys ... Read More

    by RangerC (RangerC)

  • The Honda Classic (PGA)

    Is Scott really that bad of a play, though? 7700, not going to be more than 10% owned, +6 Strokes Gained OTT+Approach last tournament. He was nearly -6 Putting + Around the Green, of course, but maybe he has the miracle tournament where he sticks everyth... Read More

    by RangerC (RangerC)

  • The Honda Classic (PGA)

    This tournament seems to have the most variance of any on tour (all the water) - I remember in 2015 I had almost all 1/6 LUs here. 14 (!) of the top 25 golfers in odds missed the cut (including the top 3 of Rory, DJ, and Rose) and the 11 guys in the top 2... Read More

    by RangerC (RangerC)

  • Struggling sites now losing the shark money??

    PGA tournaments were actually bigger under the old pricing model (before they moved the floor up and chronically mispriced 3-10 top players every tournament). Being able to play Cabrera-Bello at 400 off the salary floor might make it easier for a first ti... Read More

    +2

    by RangerC (RangerC)

  • Struggling sites now losing the shark money??

    The article says DK isn't operationally profitable, which should shock no one... remember this is the company that spent millions to become a Liverpool partner and have their ads on Anfield sideboards (haven't seen them this season, maybe they aren't burn... Read More

    +9

    by RangerC (RangerC)

  • Genesis Open (PGA)

    At $530 and up the rake is always between 5.6% and 6% (when they hiked rake across most levels, ostensibly to pay for legal fees/state fees, the top rates stayed the same). If they run it (and you can afford it) the best contest is the $530 tournament (i... Read More

    +1

    by RangerC (RangerC)

  • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

    Rory's round was somewhere between -5 SGP (absolute best case) and -8 SGP (the 4 putt was probably -2.5 by itself, and each of the 2 3 putts could have been -1.5). One of his birdies was a 2 putt and another was 5 ft according to PGA tour radio (not much ... Read More

    by RangerC (RangerC)

  • Attn: Draftkings Golf

    Henley has missed 2 cuts by ONE shot each and before that he had like 13 in a row made (hard to see how 17th of 34 in ToC field is terrible either, just average). The point isn't just that there's Henley at 6600 and RCB at 6900 - if that was the case you ... Read More

    +1

    by RangerC (RangerC)

  • Attn: Draftkings Golf

    Exactly right. If you like a guy like Gribble there is no reason to play him as he might not even pay off his price with a top 5 - instead of say, playing him in 3 LUs at a cost of $12, put $4 on him to win ($1100 payoff, more than 16th in DtG), $4 on on ... Read More

    +1

    by RangerC (RangerC)

  • Attn: Draftkings Golf

    Take the quotations off of "mispriced". You can spend your 50K on Eric Axley ($7400, 500-1), Martin Piller ($7600, 200-1), Andrew Putnam ($7600, 300-1), Seamus Power ($7600, 200-1), an out-of-form Adam Scott and Jordan Spieth (have to use all the $$) OR g... Read More

    +2

    by RangerC (RangerC)

  • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

    They raised the floor for no reason (completely killed scrub plays). Worst was a EURO event where random amateurs were 6800 (floor) and Richie Ramsey with 7/7 cuts was 6900. I remember at Honda Classic 3 years ago Rory was like 13500 and Adam Hadwin was ... Read More

    by RangerC (RangerC)

  • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

    As if DK even has an algo that looks at any of those things... Matt Atkins is 1/8 on cuts, never played Pebble and is $100 more than the 21st ranked player in the world (who only has 5 top 11s in last 8, 8/8 cuts, etc). Russell Knox is 6/7 on cuts (misse... Read More

    by RangerC (RangerC)

  • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

    There's also JB Holmes (on winning LU here last year I think), Cink, Chris Kirk, Piercy, Stricker (also a top play last year), Grayson Murray, Kokrak, GMac, and Aaron Wise. Range is loaded (basically no reason to play at least a third of the field). Read More

    by RangerC (RangerC)

  • Attn: Draftkings Golf

    100% correct. There is zero quality control in the pricing (hundreds of thousands in rake per slate and they can't be bothered to have one intern check to see that Martin Pillar and Andrew Putnam are 7600 while Russell Henley, Russell Knox, GMac, Horschel... Read More

    +5

    by RangerC (RangerC)

  • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

    This pricing is insanely bad at 7600 and below.. back to last year's early season trash. 7200 - Will Zalatoris, Rob Oppenheim, Johnson Wagner, Stegmaier, De Jonge 7000-6600 - Austin Cook, Bryson, RCB, Kokrak, Russell Knox, Russell Henley (100 off the min... Read More

    +2

    by RangerC (RangerC)

  • Waste Management Phoenix Open (PGA)

    WTF Spieth... -3.8 putting and 2 penalty strokes to MC by ONE shot. I had 46 LUs across DK/FD/FantasyDraft, 11 6/6 (or 6/7 on FD) 29 5/6, 6 4/6 or worse. If Spieth makes the cut (or I just put all my Spieth shares into Rahm) 35/46 6/6. Read More

    by RangerC (RangerC)

  • Waste Management Phoenix Open (PGA)

    Yeah I noticed that - I need the crazy parlay of Stenson make cut / cut stay at -3 (have Hend on team) to save a Westwood/Gallacher combo and it might just hold as while guys are absolutely ripping the course overall most of the randos who could have gotte... Read More

    by RangerC (RangerC)

  • 18.88% It is just getting worse........

    18% paid is great! Move this contest down to 10% rake, pay 400K to first and you actually have a reasonable contest (unfortunately the top heavy prize destroys this anyway). The combination of 15% rake and paying 25-30% of the field has completely destro... Read More

    +1

    by RangerC (RangerC)

  • Waste Management Phoenix Open (PGA)

    Better late than never.... Cut projection for Waste Management Open: 52 at -2 64 at -1 78 at E 89 at +1 Thought -1 would be more likely I guess (it was E in 2016 so not too odd). If pins are a little easier (front 9 played really tough overall) and the... Read More

    by RangerC (RangerC)

  • Waste Management Phoenix Open (PGA)

    Wiesberger missing the cut is insanely gross... he was on some of the coverage and missed a 3-5ft putt plus a bunch of other make-able putts - have 4 LUs with most of the top 15 and one of Weisberger or Stenson. Read More

    by RangerC (RangerC)

  • The Farmer's Insurance Open (PGA)

    Hilarious how dumb this is in a tournament with 180K to the top 4... LU hits 550-560 with some straightforward pivots. Read More

    by RangerC (RangerC)

  • The Farmer's Insurance Open (PGA)

    Bah Noren loss cost me ~$600 or so. Best tournament overall since Travelers 2 seasons ago but feeling pretty discouraged now overall. 3 teams in Top 260 (20th best) but would have had 3rd (2nd if Noren would have won) with TWO separate combinations of pl... Read More

    by RangerC (RangerC)

  • The Farmer's Insurance Open (PGA)

    Big sweat turned out OK thanks to miracle Keegan eagle and Rose making putt on 18 to semi-salvage a horrible round. 4th and 22nd in Weekend and 20th in DtG (can get up to 15th if Noren wins, I have both). The Finau 58ft birdie streak putt pretty much rui... Read More

    by RangerC (RangerC)

  • The Farmer's Insurance Open (PGA)

    10th and 41st now... gonna be tough to win as my team is pretty duplicated across the top 10 but can easily get 3rd-5th if Rose can get anything going. Read More

    by RangerC (RangerC)

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