Posts by Smallchimp

  • NFL, Week 11

    !https://media2.giphy.com/media/6qpTYwAvFgCE4SUf5V/200w.gif! Read More

    by Smallchimp (Smallchimp)

  • NFL, Week 10

    Really surprised to see how low Diggs and Allen ownership ended up being in the forum contest Read More

    by Smallchimp (Smallchimp)

  • NBA, 11/12

    Is there a reason my model's begging me to play Melton and LaVine? It's just simple player stats per minute times weighted defensive stats multiplied by minutes, so I'm just wondering if this is what everyone sees in their own/site projections. Last time I... Read More

    by Smallchimp (Smallchimp)

  • NFL, Week 4

    Thank you! Read More

    by Smallchimp (Smallchimp)

  • NFL, Week 4

    Happier meal link? Read More

    by Smallchimp (Smallchimp)

  • NFL, Week 3

    Wondering if it's just more opportune to live in the $6K range at WR. M. Brown has the match-up and the usage, Kupp is the Rams offense at sub-$7000, the Titans receivers both have good matchups and fair usage, "(player-popup #mike-williams)Mike Williams":... Read More

    +1

    by Smallchimp (Smallchimp)

  • NFL, Week 3

    As far as target-funnel offenses go: - I didn't realize how much of a funnel the passing game is towards Brown and Watkins. The pair make up nearly 58% of all targets and over 70% of the air yards. Not too shabby. - The Cincy trio is as advertised— ove... Read More

    +2

    by Smallchimp (Smallchimp)

  • NFL, Week 3

    Finally set up a bit of a cheat sheet to look at receiver usage. What I'm noticing is that Ridley, Jefferson, "(player-popup #a-j-brown)AJ Brown":/players/a-j-brown-982405, and Claypool have a fairly sizable chunk of their team's total air yards, percent o... Read More

    +1

    by Smallchimp (Smallchimp)

  • NFL, Week 2

    Seems like per PFF, only MIA, NE, and CHI employ shadow coverages. They see Diggs vs coverage (Jones/Howard) as neutral/neutral-plus match-ups Read More

    by Smallchimp (Smallchimp)

  • NFL, Week 2

    Always funny when the WR vs. CB chart highlights the top 10ish WRs by salary as those in the hottest matchups. Beasley looks like the one "oddball" receiver in a smash spot. Read More

    by Smallchimp (Smallchimp)

  • NFL, Week 2

    Didn't really expect the data to be up already, but here's what Sharp Football Stats says: All Data: 4WR: 29% (23 snaps) 5WR: 13% (10 snaps) Neutral Game Script (+/- 3): 4WR: 5% (2 snaps) 5WR: 22% (9 snaps) Down >3: 4WR: 35% (6 snaps) 5WR: 6% (1 snap... Read More

    +3

    by Smallchimp (Smallchimp)

  • NFL, Week 2

    According to The Athletic, the Bills ran 4+ WR sets on 44.9% of snaps (35/78) with 9 of those snaps being 5WR sets. Wild to consider when thinking about how deep you can go with their receivers. Read More

    by Smallchimp (Smallchimp)

  • NFL, Week 2

    Lived and (mainly) died with the Allen/Diggs/Davis/Beasley stack last week, going back to the well again this week. If the offensive game plan is similar to 2020, the pass volume should catapult that stack sooner or later. Read More

    by Smallchimp (Smallchimp)

  • NFL, Week 2

    Was going to comment on Pitts' price increase, but I realized that he's at 7 targets on 31 routes run. That ranks 11th at the position for players with at least 10 routes ran. Not bad. Plays wide about 27% of the time (87th percentile of TE) which is as-ad... Read More

    by Smallchimp (Smallchimp)

  • NFL, Week 1

    Wait, these snake drafts on DK are just for Week 1, right? Not the best ball, but the contests advertised as "Snake Draft" Read More

    by Smallchimp (Smallchimp)

  • NFL, Week 1

    For what it's worth, PFF expects Callaway to match up King/Alexander/Sullivan for 26/13/10 snaps. Alexander doesn't really shadow IIRC Read More

    by Smallchimp (Smallchimp)

  • NFL, Week 1

    Are we really this afraid of playing San Francisco pass catchers to where no WR is close to 5% owned? By all accounts, it's an excellent WR vs. CB matchup (especially for Aiyuk), and even if they're going to be ahead, the Niners exceeded 30 passes in all b... Read More

    by Smallchimp (Smallchimp)

  • NFL, Week 1

    For what it's worth, PFF has Carson projected as RB15 (high of 10) while Edmonds is RB23 (high of 21). The Fantasy Footballers have Carson as RB 18 (high of 13) and Edmonds as RB27 (high of 24). It doesn't seem like there's a major difference in OL vs DL ... Read More

    by Smallchimp (Smallchimp)

  • NFL, Week 1

    A more aggressive Dallas wins that game off of the 4 turnovers (to be fair, 3 plus an expired clock INT) and red zone opportunities. Bizarre with how much they decided to kick in fairly obvious "go for it" territory (TB 13, TB 17, TB 3). Feels like there's... Read More

    by Smallchimp (Smallchimp)

  • NFL, Week 1

    Sure, but at an over 75% pass play rate? This feels more like avoiding the Tampa interior than a sign that there'll be 60+ targets going around for 4 guys. Maybe the lesson is that we're going to hammer Dallas pass catchers against great run defenses becau... Read More

    by Smallchimp (Smallchimp)

  • NFL, Week 1

    Same deal. Onto my main slate contests lol Read More

    by Smallchimp (Smallchimp)

  • NFL, Week 1

    Wonder what kind of overreaction we'll see during Week 2 for "(player-popup #amari-cooper)Amari Cooper":/players/amari-cooper-21757. Dallas' game plan screams adaptation to TB's DL/soft secondary rather than an analytics-driven "just pass every down" strat... Read More

    by Smallchimp (Smallchimp)

  • NFL, Week 1

    Wait, no TNF showdown thread? RIP. Happy I landed on some AB for the weeklong slate. 2 lineups with AB alone and another with Brady. Somewhat bummed about the lineups without any TNF players now, but it was nice to be hedged. Read More

    by Smallchimp (Smallchimp)

  • NFL, Week 1

    What's the game script where that makes sense? A defensive TD, some turnovers, and heavy distribution of targets where no pass catcher is especially great? Read More

    by Smallchimp (Smallchimp)

  • NFL, Week 1

    Fading the Thursday game on a weeklong slate isn't a bad idea in theory, but this one of the scarier matchups to bow out of. Skipping replaceable outings from the 3 Tampa WRs would be a nice edge, but IDK. Read More

    by Smallchimp (Smallchimp)

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