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DraftKings Showdown Analysis: Week 10 TNF (Steelers/Panthers)

CAR @ PIT

Before you dig into this writeup specifically geared towards this week’s Thursday Night Football matchup between the Steelers and Panthers, you may want to take a look at a few articles that serve as primers for Showdown strategy:

1) A synopsis of the Showdown format and early season results

2) Optimal total roster construction based on historical matchups in different game scripts

3) Optimal Captain (CPT) selections based on historical matchups in different game scripts

Editor’s Note: Be sure to use LineupHQ to build optimal lineups for the prime-time game!

Methodology

To analyze this specific Showdown slate, I looked through thousands of NFL matchups from 2008-2017 and found the closest analogies to the PIT-CAR matchup according to the following parameters: Betting spread, over/under, average fantasy points scoring for the top-ranked positional players of both rosters (QB1, RB1, WR1, TE1).

I won’t detail every matchup that falls into the top-100, but for illustration let’s look at the most similar matchup: 2016 Week 10, Steelers-Cowboys.

The spread and over/under are exactly the same as this matchup (Steelers -2.5, 50 O/U versus Steelers -4, 50.5 O/U).

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Comments

  • bulldogbruin

    Love the new YTD data. Great stuff.

  • Antwone23

    It’s still showing Monday Nights Game information

  • colekev

    @Antwone23 said...

    It’s still showing Monday Nights Game information

    Not sure what information is from Monday. Can you be more specific to help me find it? Maybe there’s confusion because one of the teams in the most similar historical matchup is the Cowboys and they also played on Monday night?

  • Antwone23

    @colekev said...

    Not sure what information is from Monday. Can you be more specific to help me find it? Maybe there’s confusion because one of the teams in the most similar historical matchup is the Cowboys and they also played on Monday night?

    It’s not showing Carolina vs Steelers it’s still showing Titans vs Cowboys and using the Broncos vs Oakland in the historical match up as well

  • colekev

    @Antwone23 said...

    It’s not showing Carolina vs Steelers it’s still showing Titans vs Cowboys and using the Broncos vs Oakland in the historical match up as well

    Weird. I don’t see that. I see the information for tonights matchup. I’ll check to see if there’s any reason you’re not seeing what I’m seeing.

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    @Antwone23 said...

    It’s not showing Carolina vs Steelers it’s still showing Titans vs Cowboys and using the Broncos vs Oakland in the historical match up as well

    Can you copy/paste the URL in your browser Antwone?

    This is the one you should see: https://rotogrinders.com/showdowns/draftkings-showdown-analysis-week-10-tnf-steelers-panthers-2752256

  • Volkster6

    Thanks for posting the YTD info Kevin.

  • KardiacChris

    All the data looks correct to me Kevin and thanks.

  • sjj33j1s

    Very cool stuff. Does position rank in the YTD charts refer to where that player finished scoring wise on that specific slate?

  • colekev

    @sjj33j1s said...

    Very cool stuff. Does position rank in the YTD charts refer to where that player finished scoring wise on that specific slate?

    No. It’s the positional ranking in terms of salary. The assumption being the “best” WR/RB/TE will have the highest salary.

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