Slate IQ Showdown

Slate Advice and General Strategy Powered by Data from Previous Showdown Slates
Brought to you by Director of Data and Analytics @cole_kev

cole_kev

DraftKings SlateIQ Showdown: Week 13 SNF (Steelers/Chargers)

LAC @ PIT

There are three main components to each Showdown slate analysis that you’ll find below:

  • Optimal lineup allocations (CPT and total roster) for both team based on the results of similar historical matchups.
  • Comparison of player ownership projections for FLEX and CPT produced by a model trained on 2018 Showdown contest results to optimal allocations.
  • Year-to-date Showdown contest positional allocations for winning (top 0.1%) entries and the field.

Before you dig into this writeup specifically geared towards this week’s Sunday Night Football matchup between the Steelers and Chargers, you may want to take a look at a few articles that serve as primers for Showdown strategy:

1) Walking through a Showdown slate that gives a specific plan for comparing optimal allocation and ownership projections to find high leverage plays

2) A synopsis of the Showdown format and early season results

3) Optimal total roster construction based on historical matchups in different game scripts

4) Optimal Captain (CPT) selections based on historical matchups in different game scripts

Methodology

To analyze this specific Showdown slate, I looked through thousands of NFL matchups from 2008-2017 and found the closest analogies to the PIT-LAC matchup according to the following parameters: Betting spread, over/under, average fantasy points scoring for the top-ranked positional players of both rosters (QB1, RB1, WR1, TE1).

I won’t detail every matchup that falls into the top-100, but for illustration let’s look at the most similar matchup: 2009 Week 13, Vikings-Cardinals.

Our Premium content can help you make better picks every day

  • To read this full article for this week’s NFL games, you need to have a subscription to RG Premium.
  • A Premium subscription will allow you to access this article, as well as Consensus Value Rankings, daily picks from top-ranked players, and much more.
Start your FREE 7-day trial

  • If you have already used your free trial, you can purchase a weekly pass to quickly gain access to Premium Content!
Purchase a week pass

Comments

  • X Unread Thread
  • X Thread with New Replies*
  • *Jumps to your first unread reply

RotoGrinders.com is the home of the daily fantasy sports community. Our content, rankings, member blogs, promotions and forum discussion all cater to the players that like to create a new fantasy team every day of the week. Our goal is to help all of our members make more money playing daily fantasy sports!

Disclosures: All RotoGrinders content contributors are active DFS players. Contributor screen names can be found on their respective RotoGrinders profile pages. Contributors reserve the right to use players or strategies not discussed in their content on RotoGrinders.