Slate IQ Showdown

Slate Advice and General Strategy Powered by Data from Previous Showdown Slates
Brought to you by multi-time Live Finalist and Top Grinder, Chris Gimino @ChrisGimino

Chris Gimino

DraftKings SlateIQ Showdown: Week 15 MNF (Saints/Panthers)

There are three main components to each Showdown slate analysis that you’ll find below:

  • Optimal lineup allocations (CPT and total roster) for both team based on the results of similar historical matchups.
  • Comparison of player ownership projections for FLEX and CPT produced by a model trained on 2018 Showdown contest results to optimal allocations.
  • Year-to-date Showdown contest positional allocations for winning (top 0.1%) entries and the field.

Before you dig into this writeup specifically geared towards this week’s Monday Night Football matchup between the Saints and Panthers, you may want to take a look at a few articles that serve as primers for Showdown strategy:

1) Walking through a Showdown slate that gives a specific plan for comparing optimal allocation and ownership projections to find high leverage plays

2) A synopsis of the Showdown format and early season results

3) Optimal total roster construction based on historical matchups in different game scripts

4) Optimal Captain (CPT) selections based on historical matchups in different game scripts

Methodology

To analyze this specific Showdown slate, I looked through thousands of NFL matchups from 2008-2017 and found the closest analogies to the NOS-CAR matchup according to the following parameters: Betting spread, over/under, average fantasy points scoring for the top-ranked positional players of both rosters (QB1, RB1, WR1, TE1).

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Comments

  • Volkster6

    Kevin in your graph write up you mention that QB and TE1 are relatively high and WR1 low but looking at the graph it appears that WR1 is higher???

  • colekev

    @Volkster6 said...

    Kevin in your graph write up you mention that QB and TE1 are relatively high and WR1 low but looking at the graph it appears that WR1 is higher???

    It is higher. When I say relative, I mean relative to the average slate. Sorry for the confusion!

  • Volkster6

    Thanks Kevin!

  • Macdman11

    Love these articles! Will you have anything for this Saturday’s showdowns?

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