1/14/19 Sports Betting Matchup Breakdown: Portland Trailblazers at Sacramento Kings

Hey everyone, welcome the the NBA sports betting breakdown, where we are giving you all you need to make an informed bet in some of the more interesting games of the night. Unlike other articles, we aren’t giving you the picks for the games, but rather giving what information you need to make the right pick.

Now that we’re done with, lets get to the breakdown for January 14, 2019: Portland Trailblazers at Sacramento Kings.

Historical Numbers Against the Spread

Tonight’s matchup features two teams right in the thick of the playoff hunt over in the Western Conference. The Trailblazers currently sit at 4th in the Western Conference with a record of 26-18, while the Kings sit at 10th with a record of 22-21.

Kings Historical Numbers Against the Spread

If you’ve read this article before, you probably know that the Kings have been one of the best teams in the leauge to bet on this year as they are 25-17-1 ATS. While they haven’t been nearly as good in the last few games, they set up here for a prime spot to beat the spread. Currently on the year, the Kings have been fantastic at home going 15-7-1 ATS and 13-10 straight up. Additionally, they come into this game with a full days rest, and no team has been better to bet on after a full days rest than the Kings as they currently sit at 18-5 ATS on the year. It should be noted that the Kings have only been favored at home 5 times this year, and in those spots the Kings have gone 4-1 ATS.

Trailblazers Historical Numbers Against the Spread

While the numbers don’t show it, the Trailblazers are in a tough spot tonight. On the year, Portland has been an above average team to bet on going 23-21 ATS however, they are playing their 3rd game in four days and just got done with a close loss last night in Denver and now have to travel to Sacramento. On the year in back to backs, the Trailblazers have done well against the spread going 4-2 and looking back to last year the Blazers have gone 7-6-2 ATS in these situation. The place where Portland has really struggled to cover this year has been on the road, like tonight, as they are 8-11 ATS and 5-9 ATS as a road dog.

Current Betting Numbers on the Spread

The spread for this game opened with Kings favored at -1 and with 74% of the bets coming in on the Kings, the line has moved to 2.5.

Historical Numbers on the Total

This year, the Kings have been one of the more fun teams to watch as they have played a one of the fastest paces in the league this year, which is a big deviation from last year. Currently on the year, the Kings are playing at the second highest paces in the league, while ranking slightly below average on the defensive side of the ball at 20th in the league in defensive efficiency. The Trailblazers have been a bit of a different team than the Kings as they are near the middle of the pack in both categories rankings 19th in pace and 15th in defensive efficiency.

Kings Historical Numbers on the Total

As mentioned earlier, the Kings are playing at one of the fastest paces in the league this year which is a drastic change from last year. Currently, no team has hit the over at a more consistent rate than the Kings going 27-16 on the over this year. Even with their great track record, this doesn’t set up as a great spot to bet the over tonight. The Kings have gone 11-12 on the over at home this year and are only 13-10 on the over after a full days rest. Looking at home games where the Kings are favored, the odds look even worse as the Kings are 1-4 on the over.

Trailblazers Historical Numbers on the Total

This is not a good spot for the for the Trailblazers to hit the over if we look at this year as a whole. The Blazers are on a back to back and have played 3 games in 4 days. Currently on the year during back to backs, the Blazers have been one of the worst teams in the league to hit the over going just 1-5 on the over in back to backs. Additionally, the Trailblazers have been mediocre on the road going 10-9 on the over and just 6-8 as a road dog.

Current Betting Numbers on the Total

This game opened with the second highest total on the board tonight at 227.5, and with 54% of the public betting on the under, the line has not moved.