2/4/19 Sports Betting Matchup Breakdown: San Antonio Spurs at Sacramento Kings

Hey everyone, welcome to the daily sports betting breakdown here on RotoGrinders. In this article, we’ll give you everything you need to know to know about betting on some one of the more interesting games of the day. Unlike other articles which simply give you the “picks,” we give you the historical data behind the picks so that you can further your sports betting knowledge, and learn what to look for when trying to bet on games.

Now, let’s get to the breakdown for February 4th, 2019: San Antonio Spurs at Sacramento Kings.

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Historical Numbers Against the Spread

Tonight’s matchup features two teams vying for the playoffs in the Western Conference. The Spurs currently sit at 5th in the Western Conference with a record of 32-22 and are 7-3 in their last 10, while the Kings sit at 9th in the Western Conference with a record of 27-25 and are 6-4 in their last 10.

Kings Historical Numbers Against the Spread

The Kings have been one of the most profitable teams in the league to bet on this year going 30-21-1 ATS which ranks 3rd in the league. Looking at the overall situation for the Kings tonight it sets up as a good spot as they are playing at home on a full days rest. On the season, no team has been better to bet on at home than the Kings who own a record of 18-7-1 ATS and are 12-6-1 as a home dog. Additionally, while the Kings have been one of the worst teams in the league at covering on a back to back (2-8 ATS), they have been the best team in the league at covering on a full days rest going 20-7 ATS. Overall, this is a fantastic spot for the Kings to cover.

Spurs Historical Numbers Against the Spread

While the Spurs started out the season a little slow, the Spurs have been a fantastic team to bet on this season going 31-23 ATS which ranks 4th in the league. While the Spurs have been a fantastic team to bet on at home this year (18-11 ATS) , they have been a completely different team on the road going 13-12 ATS including 4-4 as a road favorite. Looking at the their numbers on a full days rest we see that they have been completely average at covering going 17-17 ATS. Overall, this is a bad spot for the Spurs to cover.

Current Betting Numbers on the Spread

The line for this game opened at Spurs -2 and with 66% of the bets coming in on the Spurs, the line has dropped to -1.5 showing some clear reverse line movement.

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Historical Numbers on the Total

The Spurs have been one of the best teams in the league this year and have done so by playing at a slow pace, 27th in the league, playing well on the offensive end of the floor, 9th in the league, and poorly on the defensive end, 21st in the league. The Kings on the other hand, have played at the 2nd fastest pace in the league while ranking 20th in defensive efficiency and 18th in offensive efficiency.

Kings Historical Numbers on the Total

With the Kings playing at one of the fastest paces in the league this year, they have covered the over at an above average rate this year going 28-24 this season. While the Kings have been great at covering the over on the road this season, they have been a very different team at home going 12-14 on the over thus far. Additionally, the Kings have been a below average team on a full days rest this year going 13-14 on the over this season. Overall, this is a below average spot for the Kings to cover the over in this game.

Spurs Historical Numbers on the Total

Even though the Spurs play at one of the slowest paces in the league this year, they have been so much worse on the defensive end of the floor and better on the offensive end this year that they have covered at the highest rate in the league this season going 31-22-1. The Spurs have actually been an average team at covering at home this season, but have been the best team in the league at covering the over on the road this season going 16-8-1. Additionally, the Spurs have been an above average team at covering the over on a full days rest this season going 18-15-1. Overall, this is a good spot for the Spurs to cover on the over.

Current Betting Numbers on the Total

The total for this game opened up[ at 227.5 and with 70% of the bets coming in on the over, the line has moved to 229.

My Picks

 
 

About the Author

  • Grant Neiffer (gneiffer07)

  • One of the most vibrant and interesting personalities in all of DFS, Grant Neiffer, aka gneiffer07 has economics and accounting degrees from Azusa Pacific University. He’s been playing DFS since 2013 and fantasy sports from the ripe old age of 10. He has qualified for countless live finals and is routinely at the top of the RotoGrinders rankings in all the major sports. He can frequently be found on GrindersLive shows and podcasts and producing written expert analysis for RotoGrinders users.