2/7/19 Sports Betting Matchup Breakdown: Toronto Raptors at Atlanta Hawks

Hey everyone, welcome to the daily sports betting breakdown here on RotoGrinders, where we are not only giving you some of our favorite bets from one of the more exciting games on the slate, but also giving you all the historical information needed to make a good bet on the total and the spread. We have been on a crazy hot streak since we started giving picks in this article, and have gone 9-1 with 8 straight wins and not lost a single bet in the last week.

Now, let’s get to the breakdown for February 7th, 2019: the Toronto Raptors at Atlanta Hawks

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Historical Numbers Against the Spread

Tonight’s matchup features one of the best teams in the Eastern Conference going up against one of the worst. The Hawks currently sit at 12th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 18-35 and are 5-5 in their last 10, while the Raptors sit at 2nd in the Eastern Conference with a record of 39-16 and are 6-4 in their last 10.

Hawks Historical Numbers Against the Spread

The Hawks have been a below average team to bet on this year going 24-29 ATS which ranks 22nd in the NBA. While the Hawks have been one of the better teams at covering on the road going 17-15 ATS this season, they have been down right terrible at home. No team has covered at a worse rate at home than the Hawks, who own a horrible 7-14 ATS record at home. They do come into this game on two full days rest, but they have only been a .500 team against the spread in this situation going 5-5 ATS this season. Overall, this is a slightly below average spot for the Hawks to cover.

Raptors Historical Numbers Against the Spread

Toronto has been one of the worst teams in the league at covering this season going 24-30-1 ATS which ranks 5th worst in the NBA. While the Raptors have been a bad team at covering on the road going 11-16-1, it is about on par on how they have done in other situations this season. Additionally, the Raptors have been a below average team as a road favorite going 4-11-1 ATS and have been terrible on a full days rest going 12-20-1 ATS. Overall, this is a really bad spot for the Raptors to cover.

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Historical Numbers on the Total

The reason why I picked this game is because the Hawks play at the fastest paces in the league and are horrible on defense, so this should be a fun game to watch if it stays close. The Hawks currently rank 1st in the NBA in pace and 26th in defensive efficiency and 24th in offensive efficiency, while the Raptors rank 15th in pace and 8th and 7th in defensive and offensive efficiency respectively.

Hawks Historical Numbers on the Total

Atlanta have been one of the best teams to cover on the over this season ranking 30-23. While the Hawks have been an above average team at covering the over at home this season going 12-9, they have been the worst team in the league with multiple days of rest going 3-7. Overall, this is average spot for the Hawks to cover the over.

Raptors Historical Numbers on the Total

Toronto has been one of the better teams in the league at covering the over this season ranking 30-25 which ranks 7th in the NBA. The Raptors haven’t struggled on the road this season at having high scoring game as they are 16-12 on the over on the road and 9-7 as a road favorite. Additionally, the Raptors have been an above average team on a full days rest going 18-15 on the over. Overall, this is an above average spot for the Raptors to cover on the over.

My Picks

 
 

About the Author

  • Grant Neiffer (gneiffer07)

  • One of the most vibrant and interesting personalities in all of DFS, Grant Neiffer, aka gneiffer07 has economics and accounting degrees from Azusa Pacific University. He’s been playing DFS since 2013 and fantasy sports from the ripe old age of 10. He has qualified for countless live finals and is routinely at the top of the RotoGrinders rankings in all the major sports. He can frequently be found on GrindersLive shows and podcasts and producing written expert analysis for RotoGrinders users.