3/13/19 Sports Betting Matchup Breakdown: Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets
Hey everyone, welcome to the daily sports betting breakdown here on RotoGrinders, where we not only give you our favorite bets from one of the more interesting games of the night, but also historical numbers to help you improve your sports betting knowledge.
Looks like things did not go well for us last night. Luka Doncic had the worst game of his young career, shooting 1-9 from the free throw line and under 30% from the field, along with 9 turnovers. And still the Spurs only covered the spread because of a meaningless foul with 8 seconds left, but that’s gambling. All the numbers pointed to the bet being a good one, but we were due for some bad luck after how the last 3 weeks have gone (13-6-1 in the last 20 bets placed).
Let’s right the ship today with the breakdown for March 13th, 2019: the Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets game.
Historical Numbers Against the Spread
Tonight’s match up features a potential Western Conference finals preview. The Warriors currently sit at 1st in the Western Conference with a record of 45-21 (4-6 in their last 10), while the Rockets currently sit at 3rd with a record of 42-25 (9-1 in their last 10).
Warriors Historical Numbers Against the Spread
While the Warriors have been the best team in the NBA this season, they have not fared well for gamblers as they have gone 26-39-1 ATS, which ranks dead last in the NBA. While they have been by far the worst team to bet on at home this season, they have only been slightly below average on the road, going 14-18 ATS. Additionally, they come into this game with two days of rest, a scenario in which they have been close to .500 against the spread (8-9). Overall, this is a slightly above average spot for the Warriors to cover.
Rockets Historical Numbers Against the Spread
The Rockets have been one of the best teams in the league this year, but have not performed to expectations for bettors, going 31-34-2 ATS. The Rockets have been downright bad to bet on on the road this year, but have been a good team to bet on at home, going 18-14-1 ATS. The Rockets come into this game with a full day’s rest, but are playing their third game in 4 days. We don’t have a significant sample size of how they have performed this year in this situation, but they have been .500 ATS this year both on back-to-backs and on a full day of rest (the only spots they have performed under .500 have been with multiple days of rest). Overall, this is an above average spot for the Rockets to cover.
Historical Numbers on the Total
Tonight’s game should be a fun one as it features two of the best offensive teams in the league. The Warriors currently rank 10th in pace, 15th in defensive efficiency and 1st in offensive efficiency. Meanwhile, the Rockets currently rank 28th in pace, 22nd in defensive efficiency and 2nd in offensive efficiency.
Warriors Historical Numbers on the Total
Everyone expected the Warriors to be a great offensive team this year, and as such, they have only covered the over at a .500 rate this season, going 33-33. Even though they have covered the over at a low rate at home this season, they have been one of the best teams at covering it on the road, going 19-13 (3rd in the NBA). Additionally, they have been slightly above average on multiple days rest, going 9-8. Overall, this is an above average spot for the Warriors to cover the over.
Rockets Historical Numbers on the Total
Even though the Rockets have been fantastic on the offensive end this year, they have only been slightly above average on the over, going 32-31-4. Where the Rockets have really hit the over at a high rate has been at home, where they are 19-12-2 (3rd in the league). Even though the Rockets have only covered the over at a 18-19-3 clip on a full day’s rest, they have gone 7-3 on back-to-backs. With this being a 3 in 4 situation, overall this is an above average spot for the Rockets to cover the over.
(Top photo: Troy Taormina/USA TODAY Sports)